The market's true earnings expectation — and why beating the consensus estimate isn't enough.
Analysts update their models constantly, but they rarely publish every revision.
The Earnings Whisper® number captures what they actually expect — and
across two decades and more than 143,000 published numbers,
it has landed closer to actual reported earnings than the published consensus
69.7% of the time. Consequently, there is
no statistical benefit to beating the consensus estimate.
Average day-of move, since February 1999.
Companies that beat the Whisper closed higher by an average of 1.9%.
Those that cleared the published estimate but fell short of the Whisper closed
lower 54.9% of the time. There is no
statistical benefit to beating the consensus estimate — only the Whisper.
Northeast Community Bancorp (NECB) reported earnings of $0.72 per share on revenue of $36.70 million for the second quarter ended June 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.77 per share on revenue of $25.76 million. The company missed consensus estimates by 6.49% while revenue fell 5.64% compared to the same quarter a year ago.
Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc. is a federally chartered stock holding company established to be the holding company for Northeast Community Bank. Northeast Community Bancorp's business activity is the ownership of the outstanding capital stock of the Bank. Northeast Community Bancorp, MHC is the Company's federally chartered mutual holding company parent. As a mutual holding company, the MHC is a non-stock company that has as its members the depositors of the Bank. The Company operates as a community-oriented financial institution offering traditional financial services to consumers and businesses in its market area and its lending territory. Northeast Community Bank operates six full-service offices in New York and a loan production office in Wellesley, Massachusetts.
Lamb Weston (LW) reported earnings of $0.87 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter ended May 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.62 per share on revenue of $1.70 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.69 per share. The company beat expectations by 26.09% while revenue grew 5.63% on a year-over-year basis.
The company said it expects fiscal 2027 earnings of $2.95 to $3.25 per share on revenue of $6.61 billion to $6.68 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.10 per share on revenue of $6.35 billion for the year ending May 31, 2027.
Lamb Weston, along with its joint venture partners, is a leading supplier of frozen potato, sweet potato, appetizer and vegetable products to restaurants and retailers around the world.
Gentex (GNTX) reported earnings of $0.58 per share on revenue of $651.30 million for the second quarter ended June 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.50 per share on revenue of $668.96 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.53 per share. The company beat expectations by 9.43% while revenue fell 1.00% compared to the same quarter a year ago.
The company said it continues to expect 2026 revenue of $2.65 billion to $2.75 billion and 2027 revenue of $2.80 billion to $2.90 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $2.68 billion for the year ending December 31, 2026, and $2.83 billion for the year ending December 31, 2027.
Gentex Corp designs and manufactures automatic-dimming rearview mirrors and electronics for the automotive industry, dimmable aircraft windows for the aviation industry, and commercial smoke alarms and signaling devices for the fire protection industry.
