The Market's True Earnings Expectations

Go beyond the consensus and become a better stock picker with Earnings Whisper numbers, investor sentiment, and proprietary research and tools to help you capture the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) and outperform the overall stock market. Plus, get the most accurate earnings dates, earnings news, and insights into how stocks react before and after earnings.



Most Anticipated Earnings Releases TM

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The most anticipated earnings releases for the week beginning August 27, 2026 are AVGO Broadcom CRDO Credo Technology DELL Dell Technologies PANW Palo Alto Networks HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise

Thursday Aug 27
Before the Open
LOT, PURR, VIOT reporting before the open on Thursday, August 27
After the Close
Friday Aug 28
Before the Open
MNSO, CHA reporting before the open on Friday, August 28
After the Close
Monday Aug 31
Before the Open
SAIC, BLRX reporting before the open on Monday, August 31
After the Close
CANG reporting after the close on Monday, August 31
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The Earnings Whisper® Number

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The market's true earnings expectation — and why beating the consensus estimate isn't enough.

Meme: the market reacts to the whisper number, not the published estimate.

Analysts update their models constantly, but they rarely publish every revision. The Earnings Whisper® number captures what they actually expect — and across two decades and more than 144,000 published numbers, it has landed closer to actual reported earnings than the published consensus 69.8% of the time. Consequently, there is no statistical benefit to beating the consensus estimate.

Beat the Whisper and the estimate +1.9% Beat the Estimate but missed the Whisper −0.7%
Average day-of move, since February 1999.

Companies that beat the Whisper closed higher by an average of 1.9%. Those that cleared the published estimate but fell short of the Whisper closed lower 54.9% of the time. There is no statistical benefit to beating the consensus estimate — only the Whisper.

The Whisper Report®

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Softer Underneath

Monday, August 24, 2026
Sentiment has improved while the underlying price action has softened.
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Earnings Preview

AVGO Broadcom is confirmed to report Wednesday, September 2, after the close.

Broadcom's Stock Has Fallen 12% Since Its Blowout Quarter. Can AI Bookings Prove the Skeptics Wrong?

Broadcom heads into its next report with a strange disconnect between what management has said and what the market has done. Three months ago the company delivered one of the strongest AI-driven updates in its recent history, yet the stock has dropped 12.3% since then while the S&P 500 gained 1.5%. That gap of nearly 14 percentage points is the central tension going into this release, because either the market is pricing in a slowdown that has not shown up in the numbers yet, or last quarter's exuberance simply left the bar too high for even strong results to clear.

Consensus calls for $29.47 billion in revenue and $3.22 in non-GAAP earnings per share, which would represent 84.7% year-over-year revenue growth against last year's $15.95 billion. That consensus revenue figure sits almost exactly in line with management's own guidance of approximately $29.4 billion, meaning the Street is not pushing beyond what the company already promised. The whisper number of $3.35, modestly above consensus, suggests some optimism embedded in trading circles, but it is not a dramatic gap. Given that Broadcom's revenue guide already implies a jump from $22.19 billion just one quarter ago, meeting the number itself would still represent a substantial sequential acceleration.

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Top Earnings News

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The recent, most closely watched, earnings results.

Affirm Beat Expectations, Guides Above Estimates

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 4:32 PM
Affirm (AFRM) reported earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $1.17 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter ended June 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.33 per share on revenue of $1.11 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.39 per share. The company beat expectations by 23.08% while revenue grew 33.04% on a year-over-year basis.

The company said in its shareholder letter it expects first quarter revenue of $1.19 billion to $1.22 billion and fiscal 2027 revenue of approximately $5.43 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $1.16 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2026 and revenue of $5.34 billion for the year ending June 30, 2027.

Affirm’s mission is to deliver honest financial products that improve lives.

Gap Beat Expectations, Revises Guidance with Earnings Above Estimates

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 4:15 PM
Gap (GAP) reported earnings of $0.52 per share on revenue of $3.65 billion for the fiscal second quarter ended July 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.50 per share on revenue of $3.72 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.49 per share. The company beat expectations by 6.12% while revenue fell 1.99% compared to the same quarter a year ago.

The company said it expects fiscal year earnings of $2.35 to $2.45 per share on revenue of $15.52 billion to $15.60 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $2.30 to $2.40 per share on revenue of $15.52 billion to $15.67 billion, and the current consensus earnings estimate is $2.33 per share on revenue of $15.54 billion for the year ending January 31, 2027. The company also said it expects third quarter revenue of $4.00 billion to $4.04 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $4.01 billion for the quarter ending October 31, 2026.

Gap Inc., a house of iconic brands, is the largest specialty apparel company in America.

IREN Limited Missed Expectations

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 4:09 PM
IREN Limited (IREN) reported a loss of $0.82 per share on revenue of $137.23 million for the fiscal fourth quarter ended June 2026. The consensus estimate was a loss of $0.01 per share on revenue of $138.89 million. The Earnings Whisper number was a loss of $0.35 per share. The company missed expectations by 134.29% while revenue fell 26.73% compared to the same quarter a year ago.

“We started IREN with a simple observation: the digital world can scale almost instantly, but the physical world cannot,” said Daniel Roberts, Co-Founder and Co-CEO of IREN. “This year, that founding thesis became tangible. Exponential AI consumption growth has fueled demand for compute capacity well beyond the available supply of infrastructure. IREN was built for this moment.

IREN is a leading AI Cloud Service Provider, delivering large-scale GPU clusters for AI training and inference.

The Drift

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Upcoming Earnings

Nvidia Headlines a Blockbuster Earnings Week as Software and Retail Fight for the Spotlight

August 22, 2026
NVDA MRVL CRM CRWD IREN XPEV
All eyes are on Nvidia this week, and for good reason. The chip giant remains the undisputed heavyweight of this earnings slate, drawing more attention than any other name by a country mile. The mood heading into its report is upbeat, momentum is strong, and options traders are bracing for a swing of roughly four percent in either direction, so buckle up. But Nvidia is far from the only show in town. The technology sector dominates the calendar, with heavyweights like Salesforce, CrowdStrike, Intuit and Workday all stepping up to the plate. Here the tone gets more interesting, because several of these software darlings are walking in with a cloud of doubt hanging over them. Salesforce and Workday in particular have investors feeling cautious, and given how sharply these stocks can lurch after results, even a small stumble could send shares tumbling. Marvell, on the other hand, has quietly built up strength and could surprise the skeptics.
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Recent Positive Earnings

HIPO 1.9% since the report 2.3% above its post-earnings high




Trusted Earnings Research Since 1998

For more than 25 years, investors and financial professionals have used Earnings Whispers to look beyond consensus estimates and better understand the expectations driving stock prices around earnings.

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