The Market's True Earnings Expectations

Go beyond the consensus and become a better stock picker with Earnings Whisper numbers, investor sentiment, and proprietary research and tools to help you capture the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) and outperform the overall stock market. Plus, get the most accurate earnings dates, earnings news, and insights into how stocks react before and after earnings.



Most Anticipated Earnings Releases TM

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The most anticipated earnings releases for the week beginning November 3, 2026 are AMD Advanced Micro Devices SHOP Shopify SMCI Super Micro Computer APP AppLovin DIBS 1stdibs.com

The Earnings Whisper® Number

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The market's true earnings expectation — and why beating the consensus estimate isn't enough.

Meme: beating the consensus estimate is not the same as beating expectations.

Analysts update their models constantly, but they rarely publish every revision. The Earnings Whisper® number captures what they actually expect — and across two decades and more than 145,000 published numbers, it has landed closer to actual reported earnings than the published consensus 69.7% of the time. Consequently, there is no statistical benefit to beating the consensus estimate.

Beat the Whisper and the estimate +1.9% Beat the Estimate but missed the Whisper −0.7%
Average day-of move, since February 1999.

Companies that beat the Whisper closed higher by an average of 1.9%. Those that cleared the published estimate but fell short of the Whisper closed lower 55.0% of the time. There is no statistical benefit to beating the consensus estimate — only the Whisper.

The Whisper Report®

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The Rollover

Monday, November 2, 2026
Estimate revisions, company guidance, management confidence, and even employment remain positive, but are all rolling over.
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Earnings Preview

APP AppLovin is confirmed to report Wednesday, November 4, after the close.

AppLovin Must Prove Its Model Upgrade Can Reignite Growth After First Miss

AppLovin enters its third-quarter report with something unfamiliar to explain: a stumble. After a long run of beats, the ad-tech company fell short of its own revenue and adjusted EBITDA targets last quarter, blamed the shortfall on a model upgrade that arrived just after quarter-end, and promised that the improvement was already live and lifting results. The November 4 release, due after the close, is the first real test of whether that was a timing hiccup or the start of a slower chapter.

The Street is taking management at its word, at least on the top line. Consensus calls for revenue of $2.08 billion, near the upper end of the company's $2.055 billion to $2.085 billion guidance range, and earnings of $3.94 a share. That would mean roughly 48% revenue growth and about 61% EPS growth from a year ago, still exceptional by any normal standard. The Earnings Whisper of $4.05 sits modestly above consensus, suggesting the more engaged crowd expects a clean beat on profits. With analysts already near the top of the revenue range, though, a result merely at the midpoint could feel like a second disappointment rather than a recovery.

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Top Earnings News

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The recent, most closely watched, earnings results.

Energy Transfer LP Missed Expectations

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:30 AM
Energy Transfer LP (ET) reported earnings of $0.33 per share on revenue of $37.10 billion for the third quarter ended September 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.41 per share on revenue of $35.60 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.46 per share. The company missed expectations by 28.26% while revenue grew 85.94% on a year-over-year basis.

Energy Transfer LP owns and operates one of the largest and most diversified portfolios of energy assets in the United States, with a strategic footprint in all of the major domestic production basins.

Yum! Brands Beat Expectations

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM
Yum! Brands (YUM) reported earnings of $1.56 per share on revenue of $2.05 billion for the third quarter ended September 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $1.47 per share on revenue of $2.06 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $1.45 per share. The company beat expectations by 7.59% while revenue grew 3.79% on a year-over-year basis.

Yum Brands Inc through the three concepts of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell, develops, operates, franchises and licenses a system of restaurants which prepare, package and sell a menu of competitively priced food items.

DigitalOcean Beat Expectations, Guides Above Estimates

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM
DigitalOcean (DOCN) reported earnings of $0.45 per share on revenue of $321.19 million for the third quarter ended September 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.33 per share on revenue of $307.24 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.41 per share. The company beat expectations by 9.76% while revenue grew 39.87% on a year-over-year basis.

The company said it expects fourth quarter non-GAAP earnings of $0.30 to $0.32 per share on revenue of $348.0 million to $351.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.28 per share on revenue of $333.51 million for the quarter ending December 31, 2026.

DigitalOcean simplifies cloud computing so developers and businesses can spend more time building software that changes the world.

The Drift

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Upcoming Earnings

AI and Chips Dominate a Blockbuster Earnings Week as Investors Brace for Big Swings

October 31, 2026
AAPL PLTR AMD DIBS APP AEHR
This is one of those weeks where the market holds its breath. The marquee name is Apple, which still commands more attention than any other company on the calendar, though the mood heading in feels cautious rather than euphoric. The real energy is coming from the chip and AI crowd. Palantir arrives riding a wave of enthusiasm and genuine business momentum, and the same can be said for Advanced Micro Devices, which has quietly been one of the best stories in semiconductors. Options traders are pricing in fireworks for these names, with some of the smaller, racier tech plays like Fastly, Super Micro, and Astera Labs expected to lurch by double digits in either direction the moment the numbers hit. In short, if you like drama, the technology sector is serving a full menu.
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Recent Positive Earnings

GKOS 13.1% since the report




Trusted Earnings Research Since 1998

For more than 25 years, investors and financial professionals have used Earnings Whispers to look beyond consensus estimates and better understand the expectations driving stock prices around earnings.

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