The Market's True Earnings Expectations

Go beyond the consensus and become a better stock picker with Earnings Whisper numbers, investor sentiment, and proprietary research and tools to help you capture the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) and outperform the overall stock market. Plus, get the most accurate earnings dates, earnings news, and insights into how stocks react before and after earnings.



Most Anticipated Earnings Releases TM

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The most anticipated earnings releases for the week beginning October 1, 2026 are NKE NIKE ACN Accenture AYI Acuity PENG Penguin Solutions MKC McCormick &

Thursday
Oct 1
Friday
Oct 2
Monday
Oct 5
Tuesday
Oct 6
Wednesday
Oct 7
Before Open
After Close
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After Close
Before Open
After Close
Before Open
After Close
Before Open
After Close
Thursday Oct 1
Before the Open
ACN, AYI, MKC reporting before the open on Thursday, October 1
After the Close
NKE reporting after the close on Thursday, October 1
Friday Oct 2
Before the Open
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After the Close
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Monday Oct 5
Before the Open
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After the Close
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The Earnings Quarter

Every Stock Runs the Same Three-Month Loop

A company reports once every three months. Its stock spends the other eighty-nine days deciding what the report meant — and that path has a shape. Knowing whether a stock is still drifting on its last report, sitting in the quiet middle, or already running up into the next one tells you which questions matter now, and where the odds are quietly tilting.

53% Gap higher after reporting
+3.5% Average up gap previous close to open
−3.8% Average down gap previous close to open

The gap is the opening move. What happens over the following three months is a different question — and a more useful one.

A worked example, not an average: JPM across its own earnings quarters, indexed to its price two weeks before each report.
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The Whisper Report®

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Credit Is the Tell

Monday, September 28, 2026
Constructive fundamentals are being tested by weak breadth, credit, and regional banks ahead of jobs and PCE.
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Earnings Preview

PENG Penguin Solutions is confirmed to report Tuesday, October 6, after the close.

Penguin Solutions Must Prove Its AI Memory Boom Can Outrun Margin Squeeze and Dilution

Penguin Solutions heads into its fiscal fourth-quarter report with an unusual mismatch between business momentum and stock performance. Management has raised its full-year outlook in consecutive quarters, offered a first look at roughly 30% sales and earnings growth for fiscal 2027, and recast the company as an AI factory platform rather than a cyclical hardware vendor. Yet the shares have fallen about 17% since the last report while the S&P 500 gained nearly 4%. The October 6 release, due after the close, is less about whether demand is strong and more about whether that demand is turning into durable, high-quality earnings.

The Street is looking for non-GAAP earnings of $0.75 per share on revenue of $512.5 million. That revenue figure would represent growth of nearly 52% from a year ago and a modest step up from the record $478.7 million posted last quarter, while the EPS estimate is two and a half times the $0.30 earned in the year-ago period. The whisper number sits at $0.84, a meaningful nine cents above consensus, which suggests the informal bar is higher than published estimates imply. Management's raised fiscal 2026 guidance of $2.55 to $2.65 in EPS on $1.64 billion to $1.70 billion in revenue also sits well above the older full-year consensus of $2.30 and $1.60 billion, so anything short of the guided range would be a clear disappointment.

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Top Earnings News

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The recent, most closely watched, earnings results.

NIKE Reported In-line with Expectations, Guides Below Estimates

Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 4:15 PM
NIKE (NKE) reported earnings of $0.48 per share on revenue of $11.21 billion for the fiscal first quarter ended August 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.43 per share on revenue of $11.40 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.48 per share. The company reported in-line with expectations while revenue fell 4.33% compared to the same quarter a year ago.

The company said it expects fiscal 2027 earnings of $1.15 to $1.35 per share on revenue of approximately $42.92 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.61 per share on revenue of $45.62 billion for the year ending May 31, 2027.

"The Sport Offense is driving measurable progress across our performance business, and we introduced Pace to help us accelerate and scale that momentum across NIKE," said Elliott Hill, President and Chief Executive Officer, NIKE, Inc. "We have more work to do in NIKE Sportswear, Jordan Brand and Greater China, and we're taking deliberate actions to strengthen those businesses the right way for the long-term."

NIKE, Inc. is the world's leading designer, marketer and distributor of authentic athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories for a wide variety of sports and fitness activities.

Accenture plc Beat Expectations, Guides In-line

Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 6:39 AM
Accenture plc (ACN) reported earnings of $3.29 per share on revenue of $18.68 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter ended August 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $3.19 per share on revenue of $18.01 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $3.27 per share. The company beat expectations by 0.61% while revenue grew 6.15% on a year-over-year basis.

The company said it expects fiscal 2027 earnings of $14.39 to $14.81 per share on revenue of $76.43 billion to $78.65 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $14.63 per share on revenue of $76.45 billion for the year ending August 31, 2027.

“We exceeded our fourth-quarter revenue guidance range and capped off another year of broad-based growth across our business, grew adjusted EPS 8%, returned a record $11.5 billion to shareholders and reached a new high of 141 quarterly client bookings of $100 million or more. These results reflect the continued trust our clients place in us to help them reinvent and create value, the high level of innovation we bring every day and the extraordinary commitment of our Reinventors to our clients’ success.”

Accenture PLC is a professional service company. The Company is engaged in providing management consulting, technology and outsourcing services to clients.

McCormick & Company, Beat Expectations, Reaffirms

Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 6:30 AM
McCormick & Company, (MKC) reported earnings of $0.86 per share on revenue of $2.02 billion for the fiscal third quarter ended August 2026. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.75 per share on revenue of $1.98 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.75 per share. The company beat expectations by 14.67% while revenue grew 17.39% on a year-over-year basis.

The company said it continues to expect fiscal 2026 earnings of $3.05 to $3.13 per share on revenue of $7.73 billion to $8.00 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.08 per share on revenue of $7.85 billion for the year ending November 30, 2026.

McCormick & Company Inc manufactures, markets and distributes spices, seasoning mixes, condiments and other flavorful products to the entire food industryretail outlets, food manufacturers and foodservice businesses.

The Drift

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Upcoming Earnings

Chipmakers Sizzle While Nike Sweats It Out

September 26, 2026
MU NKE CCL ACN KMX MTN
This week's earnings parade features a fascinating split between the winners strutting in with confidence and the stragglers hoping to avoid a beating. Micron leads the technology charge with real swagger, riding a wave of optimism that has traders betting big on the memory-chip maker after several strong quarters. Jabil is another tech name walking in with its head held high, and CarMax rolls onto the lot looking like it could surprise the skeptics with a bullish tone that stands out from the pack. These are the companies where the mood music is upbeat, the recent track record is solid, and expectations, while high, seem earned rather than wishful. When a stock arrives with this kind of momentum, even a decent report can send it higher, though it also raises the bar for what counts as good news.
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Recent Positive Earnings

XMTR 15.4% since the report




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