INFY Infosys Limited
$12.35
Infosys Limited Q2 F2027 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
Sign in or subscribe to read.Rishi
Good evening everyone and thank you for joining Infosys' second quarter financial results. My name is Rishi and I would like to welcome all of you. One question. Okay, with that I'm going to hand it over to Salil for his opening remarks.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
Thanks Rishi. It's good to see that everyone listens to you so well. So good evening and welcome everyone. Thank you for joining us. Our revenue growth for Q2 was 1.5% year-on-year and 1.2% sequentially in constant currency terms. AI revenue was a standout at 10.5% of our revenue, growing at 29% sequentially. And last quarter, it was at 8.2%. Large deals were another standout at 5.2 billion for the quarter. This includes two mega deals. One of these mega deals was for over $2 billion with a large international company for a period of 7 years and this is net new. This deal is expected to contribute over 1% revenue growth in the coming financial year. The second mega deal was for $1 billion for a renewal. A large deal pipeline is healthy and includes some other mega deals in this pipeline. Operating margin was stable at 21%. Free cash flow was strong at $922 million for the quarter. As enterprises adopt AI at scale, another quarter of strong growth in AI revenues is a recognition of our differentiated market positioning and client confidence. As an ecosystem integrator, we continue to work closely with the frontier model companies Both open weight and closed models, our deep investments in Topaz Fabric help our clients seamlessly navigate between models to ensure token optimization and value realization. Infosys continues to gain market share, especially where economics of the program is aligned to the stakeholder interests. We remain the preferred AI strategy and deployment partner for our top clients. As AI remains central to enterprise transformation in the years ahead, Infosys is well positioned to help navigate this shift. Based on our Q2 performance and revised outlook for rest of the year, our revenue growth guidance is 1% to 2% year on year in constant currency terms. Our operating margin guidance remains at 20% to 22% for the year. Thank you and with that we can open it up for questions.
Rishi
Thank you Salil. We will now open the floor for questions. Joining Salil is Mr. Jayesh Sanghrajka, Chief Financial Officer Infosys. The first question is from Meghna Sen from CNBC TV18.
Meghna Sen
Reporter, CNBC TV18
Thank you very much. My first question is on your guidance. You have narrowed both the lower and upper end. Could you help us understand why? Explain the margin performance, the benefit of rupee depreciation, any offset and loss due to deflation, etc. And did your salary hike also impact your margins in the second half? Third is your AI revenue is 10.5% of your Q2 revenue. So how many deal won't have AI element and with AI jitters globally, is there a change in business? And fourth, how are your December quarter furloughs shaping up versus last year and which sectors look the most vulnerable?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
Let me start off with some of them and Jayesh will also jump in with some of the other ones. So first, AI is really an incredible performance for us. It's 10.5% of our revenue growing sequentially 29%. We had laid out the AI approach in the hexagon with six different areas of focus. And in this revenue mix, we see each of those areas growing well, especially things that we do where we are building agents, where we're doing legacy modernization, where we're doing process AI, where we're doing data AI. So those are growing exceptionally well, but all of them are doing well. And then we have the partner ecosystem with that that is really gaining momentum. I think in terms of the global AI what you asked, our attention is really much more on the large enterprises with which we are working. So for them this is starting to become more and more relevant. And with the investments we made and built the Topaz Fabric and the capabilities we have, Plus all the training that we've done for all of our people, which many and more are certified now, ready to do work with different partners of the frontier companies. That is where we're getting the good traction with the enterprise clients. I'll spend a couple of minutes on the industries. I think what we see, and Jayesh will add more to that, we see really good strength on the financial services, we see good strength on energy utilities, we see good strength on the manufacturing, and we see some weakness on the retail, and we see some weakness on the high tech. But it's a mix of all of those that we have put together in how we see this. Then maybe on the guidance and the margins.
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, so if you look at our guidance, our current guidance, our last guidance was 1.5 to 3%. We had clearly called out at 1.5%. We expect, you know, even more uncertainty. Our Q2 has been softer and our volume continues to remain softer. We have also seen pricing pressure on the back of competitive intensity and higher ask on productivity. So all that is baked in in our revised guidance as we look forward. On top of that, as Salil said, some of the sectors we see softness, retail, high tech, where the discretionary is lower than what we were expecting. So all of that is reflected in our guidance on the revenue, which is where it's 1% to 2% now. Our margin continues to remain at 21%. I think it's a strong performance on the back of all the efforts that we have put in in Project Maximus. We have, if you look at last many years, we have been able to maintain margins despite investment in business, whether it is sales and marketing, whether it is AI-led investment, talent investments and all of that. If you look at put and takes of this quarter, the margins have remained flat. We had a 70 basis points of impact on post-sale customer support which is a delta between two quarters. Last quarter we had a reversal. This quarter it's an impact so it's a difference in that. We had a 20 pips coming from our acquisition. It's a one month additional impact. Last quarter only two months of impact so one month additional on account of amortization etc. That was offset by tailwinds of currency, 40 basis points coming from the currency, 20 basis points coming from a higher calendar and working day, and 20 basis points from the project maxima. So that kind of sums up the margin walk. As you look forward, the next half, which is H2, we will have impact coming from compensation, as you rightly said. So that will have a headwind. We will see continued intensity on pricing. So we will see that as an headwind and we will continue working on project Maximus to offset as much as possible from there.
Rishi
Thank you. The next question is from Mansi Dave from ET Now.
Mansi Dave
Journalist, ET Now
Hi, good afternoon.
Mansi Dave
Journalist, ET Now
So starting with the guidance which is revised downward from 1.5 to 3% to 1 to 2% on a constant currency growth basis. How much is the weak demand and market pressure affecting and what has changed in the demand environments? Plans ahead if I may ask. AI monetization. Well, the AI as a percentage of revenue for Infosys this time is quite strong and greetings to you all for that. AI is helping clients improve productivity, but it can also reduce traditional billable work. So is Infosys managing to monetize AI-led opportunities fast enough to offset pricing pressure as its traditional services business? And lastly, hiring and productivity. So can hiring plans coexist with margin protection? Because plans to hire around 20,000 graduates in FY27, if I'm not wrong, how do you balance investments and talent with margin discipline? Thank you.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the AI first, I think the AI revenues have been outstanding. As you pointed out, we have exceptional growth in that. And that shows really how we've put together the AI approach within Infosys, which is resonating with the clients and the six dimensions of the hexagon in which each area that we are investing and scaling up in. And then the foundation that we built on the Topaz fabric that helps our clients. So there we see many examples of projects that are going extremely well. These are scale projects. Even in the large deals that we referenced, almost all of them have some component. One or two of them have really full business transformation Thank you for watching. In terms of guidance, we continue to see what Jayesh was sharing in terms of the competitive intensity. So there is the AI which is giving us the growth, there is AI which is also seeing the compression and we continue to see that. There is competitive intensity because of that and we have been extremely clear that we will only take on the contracts where it meets our economic guidelines and so with that in mind and all of the margin work that's been done in terms of the initiative we've been able to keep a margin at this level and that is what's reflected into our guidance where we see that competitive intensity and the changes that are going on Now the macro environment is also equally in a place where there is continuing different wars, there were some interest rate increases, there was also the tenure yield which is now neighboring to 5% and there's continuing some element of tariffs which creates A different type of an environment for the global economy and therefore for the type of clients that we work with which is essentially the global 2000. So all of those put together we feel extremely good that the AI is going well that the large deals are good and then we also see the competitive intensity in the market. On the hiring, I'll start off with some productivity. So first, we had 4000 net increase in the headcount, which is very strong, which shows that our continued confidence into the future. Anand Swaminathan, Anand Swaminathan, Salil Satish Parekh This dynamic will continue in the way we scale. We are doing work, of course, in AI, the 10%, but we also do work in other areas. And all of those areas are growing. That's why the hiring looks pretty strong there. And then the productivity.
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, so just to add to what Salil was also saying, see, hiring is a fraction of What is the attrition that you have? What is the utilization that you have? And what is the demand in terms of volume that you see? And the productivity benefit, right? We have, give or take, 13% attrition. That means roughly 45,000 people in a year, they leave us. And that needs to be backfilled either laterally or fresher. So the fresher kind of makes up a little bit of that. We are working at 85% utilization, which is, in our mind, very optimum utilization. So there's not much headroom left there from the optimization perspective. And then there is a net new demand that you are seeing. And fresher typically takes six to eight months by the time we train them and deploy them to the project. So we do have to plan ahead of the time to make that. And that's the reflection that you are seeing today in the net headcount increases. One more point on the overall guidance perspective. I think our guidance for the year should be continued to seen at the back of the fact that we did at the beginning of the year said we will have offshoring impact of 1%. So we are looking at higher offshoring through the year. We called out an impact of large deals with a European manufacturing client where we did not pursue the deal because it did not meet our return expectations. So both of that put together impacted our overall growth guidance by 2% or continues to impact roughly that. And it should be always seen in that context.
Rishi
Thank you. The next question is from Chandra Shrikant, Money Control.
Chandra Shrikant
Journalist, Money Control
Hi, hi Salil, hi. Just wanted to get a sense on the guidance card. I don't know if it's been asked, you know, despite a healthy TCV, why did you sort of narrow the guidance band? And secondly, this week there's been a lot of, you know, talk about cyber attacks because of AI. So, and half of these cyber vulnerabilities are being uncovered by employees or by agents. I just want to know what opportunity does Infosys see there in terms of securing systems for enterprises and what are the challenges going forward? Thank you.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So I'll start on the guidance, Jayesh will have something more to add on it. So what we are seeing in the business today is very strong growth on AI, which was at 10.5% growing at 29% quarter on quarter and a very strong large deals with one mega deal at over 2 billion, which is contributing to our growth also into the next financial year. That is then combined with what we see in terms of the AI productivity and competitive intensity in the market plus as Jayesh shared what we are seeing in terms of the offshore ratios which are changing with the changes in the US-India dynamic plus what we see in terms of the choices we are making where in the case of We are extremely careful to take the ones that meet our economic thresholds and guidelines. So putting all of that together is where we put the margin guidance. Our attention really is to build out at a faster and faster pace the AI activity which is going very well with regard to the hexagon strategy that we've developed in each of the six areas. and making sure that we are participating in the large and mega deals which are business transformation deals underpinned with AI. That's the sort of deal that we won where it was something that our teams proactively identified and pursued and then the client selected us. So that's the sort of work that we want to focus on. We know there will continue to be the productivity challenges that will go on. But those will go through in some time period. The AI is here for a very long time where we want to build a very strong foundation in that. On the cyber part, the first thing we have a strong cyber business where we are already working with several of our clients in Working to use some of the frontier model capabilities to ensure that we are helping them to protect against or helping build agents which will protect against. Some of the ones that have come out this week, we have some defenses for which we are sharing with our clients. If you recall a few, two or three months ago, there was another week or so where there was a lot of this coming up with a new frontier model that had come out. And the same thing, we had been working very closely with that lab. The one model before that, we were very, it was already with us and we had built out the cyber defense with that. So it's a strong part of our business. It's something that we are looking to scale up even more. We did a small acquisition, you may know, in the cyber in Australia a few quarters ago, which is also building out very strongly because that is helping us to do things in an ethical way to make sure that we can unearth the vulnerability that the clients are seeing with the agents, with this approach that we're taking. So we see some good growth in both of those areas.
Chandra Shrikant
Journalist, Money Control
Follow up Salil, would you draw parallels with what is happening with cyber, with what happened during Y2K in terms of the opportunity this opens up for Indian IT service providers, will they take up the work of finding vulnerabilities in existing systems and can it potentially become a very big business model?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So I think the cyber, you know, not looking at the previous one, but the cyber one is a huge opportunity for Infosys. But the capabilities have to be very strong. So we need to make sure we have built our own capabilities, which are both agent-based and human-based combined and working with different frontier models. Because each frontier model is unearthing different things on the application layer. which needs to be addressed in a different way. You may have seen in the recent ones where some of the government sites had to be redone and so on. So those are things that are working which our teams have an understanding of and it is a large opportunity. So we think this will continue to be a growth area for Infosys.
Rishi
Thank you. The next question is from Hari Priya Suresh from Reuters.
Hari Priya Suresh
Reporter, Reuters
Hi, good evening, gentlemen. One on AI revenues, I wanted to understand, I mean, obviously, it's on a low base, but it is growing fast. And you've said that, you know, it'll be half in the next two to three years. How realistic do you see it? Because I'm also because of how much deflation is in your traditional services business. How do you see that play out? And also on after the pump suspension and the changes that have happened, have happened with H1B. Do you see an increase in talent retention and hiring costs in the US generally? I mean, over the next couple of years, it might not be immediate, but as it goes forward. And on high tech and retail, what exactly happened? Because high tech this quarter, I mean, YY has seen quite a fall as well. What happened in those particular verticals? Thank you.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the AI, my sense is the growth I think is quite exceptional in the way the AI is building out. And we see that being sustained now. You're absolutely right. It is on a low base. And it is... A small amount and so there will be some volatility but still growing very nicely over the coming quarters. But it's not like every quarter will be exactly like the previous. There will be some volatility in that on a small basis. I think what we are seeing and what our attention is on is making sure that we fully deploy and leverage that opportunity for our clients. And so building out, for example, if we look at the partnership network that we have, Every frontier lab we are working closely with and they are working closely with us. We are also working with open weight model companies. In Topaz Fabric, there are 15 different models a client can take advantage of. We can do token cost optimization. and of course capability meaning even the way we are doing let's say legacy modernization is changing quite quickly from what it was even 12-18 months ago to what it is today. So all of that is moving at a rapid pace and that's our attention. The second piece of the attention is really on these large transformation mega deals which we feel we are quite well positioned on where clients are coming to us. It's more something that our teams are working with them jointly and uncovering. It's not like an RFP that someone is responding to and making sure that's an AI transformation mega deal. Then the continuing of the AI productivity that is impacting the revenue also goes on and that will carry on through the different parts of our portfolio. But at the end, that's for a finite time. Once it is done, the productivity through the portfolio will be done. So that's something that we have looked at internally, but we are making sure that our focus on AI growth is where our attention remains. All of that being said, that gives us more and more confidence that the way we are looking at it for AI is where the clients are going for. And that AI transformation is where we will work more and more.
Rishi
What was the other one?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, the cost, so we, a majority of the employees that we have in the US are local hires. So we had already taken some steps several years ago, which had brought us to this position. So we feel we have a good position. Anand Sharma, Anand Sharma, We have seen different client situations both on the retail and both on the high tech, high tech specifically in one. We don't see this across all of our industries. So, for example, in financial services or energy utilities or manufacturing, we see really strong growth and discretionary growth. However, in these two industries, we have seen some impact.
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
So I mean I think both high tech and retail like Salil said we had some discretionary related ramp downs and some client specific you know slow downs in a way. It was retail also was impacted because of the third party. We had a larger third party component in the previous quarters, which on a quarter and quarter therefore shows up as a negative. So those were the impacts on both of that. I think from a geography perspective, it's been broadly similar across the geography. It's not very, at least retail high tech has been specific, more specific to the US.
Rishi
Okay, thank you. The next question is from Veena Parmar from the Economic Times.
Veena Parmar
Journalist, Economic Times
Hi Salil, just to follow up on the cyber incidents, you have large set of clients which are Fortune 500 companies and also in the public sector space. What is the level of preparedness that Infosys or companies like yours have and do you also see IT budgets increasing given that you said that you will plan to scale it up further? Secondly, on the deal wins, the two mega deals were in which sectors and since you, despite the healthy wins, you still lowered the guidance, does it mean that the AI deflation is still continuing to impact and when do you see that really going away? In terms of the hiring, besides the wage hikes, I think you're still seeing some impact on the margins. Are you seeing any increase in employee costs, given that the hiring is changing? You're also looking at more specialized hiring. And, you know, does that really lead to employee cost going up in the next few quarters?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the cyber, I think they're It's more a question of building out the capabilities that we are driving to and scaling that up. And so that demand will continue. Like all organizations, I think we are well prepared sort of both internally and in terms of supporting our clients. But what we sort of share with our clients is these are things that are happening new every day. So it's not something you can predict of what is the likely outcome, but it's better to be more prepared or also build out in this specific vulnerabilities agents and agent plus human which can address them which is being done from any client. There's more a question of building out that capability. The next was in terms of the mega...
Veena Parmar
Journalist, Economic Times
IT budgets will you have...
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So the budgets of our clients will go up but at the end it's not like you know it'll go up in one place it's not that overall will go up disproportionately overall will go up as a normal sort of a rate but not disproportionately just because of that because also they need to manage their own budgets in a careful way um on the large deals and and the guidance I think the question on productivity and AI deflation impact I think we continue to see that as Jayesh and I mentioned earlier which is really Multiple effects. One is the effect of the AI productivity with our clients are seeing. One is the effect that Jayesh also mentioned about how the on-site mix is changing. Another is the effect of the competitive intensity and how we are being I would say discipline in taking on contracts which meet our economic guidelines and profiles. So all of that comes together in this environment that creates what we call what you call the AI constraints or the AI productivity. But the more critical element really is the growth of the AI because that is a secular trend which is here and the way we are now seeing it, this is a very fast pace of growth. And even with some volatility, you're going to continue to see a very good pace of growth over the next several quarters.
Veena Parmar
Journalist, Economic Times
We have some internal views on what the mix of these two will be.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
It's not something where we are more focused on what the reduction is. We are really much more focused on where the growth is because that is going to stay for a very long time. Whether this stays for a short time or a long time, we know that with that growth over time, we will see the overall business in a much better shape.
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
And if I can just add to what Salil was saying, while our large deals have been very strong, Historically, we've been on an average signing $3 billion of large deals. So that was always there in the guidance that we baked in even earlier. The two mega deals that we signed, one of that was renewal, the other one is a net new. And the net new is only going to ramp up from later part of Q4. So in this year, there's going to be a very minuscule amount of benefit that you will get from that deal. But the next year, as Salil said earlier, it will contribute over a percent in our revenue.
Rishi
Thank you. Hiring and employee cost. Yeah. Sorry? Employee cost.
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
Employee cost. So look, we hire across the pyramid, as we have said earlier, even we are hiring at the bottom of the pyramid, which is a freshers and we are going to hire 20,000 plus employees over the year. So we are very conscious about what we are hiring. and hiring the right talent to meet the right requirement and if you're hiring at a higher cost automatically generally it reflects in the pricing so from that perspective we don't really see a margin impact if you see last many years last couple of years we have been able to maintain our margin at 21 percent despite all the headwinds while investing in the business whether it is sales and marketing whether it is talent building AI talent or you know technology Thank you, Bina. The next question is from Shilpa Fadnes from the Times of India.
Shilpa Fadnes
Journalist, Times of India
As much as Indian IT companies are denying any impact on PERM residency, if you can help us understand, will it trigger a fresh wave of attrition for you in your primary market, client market? Secondly, will your subcon expenses go up substantially on this? And my second question is around as much as AI is driving productivity, do you think this will also lead to margins being squeezed in your existing contracts?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the first one, I think overall attrition number that Jayesh shared is lower this quarter than the previous quarter in the range of 12 to 13%. We don't see... Any real impact on the attrition from any of those activities? Neither do we see a cost impact because We already have within the US a mix where the majority of the people are local hires and that's something that has been in motion for several years. So that's something that we feel good about how we can bring in more people and how we can maintain delivery excellence with our clients with that sort of a team. The second one? On the margin, I think what we see is there is a tremendous sort of desire from clients to have the AI create a benefit in terms of productivity for their activities, for their work that we do with them. and we know that many of those things we can based on the investments we made we can make it real for our clients so Given the investments we made in things like Topaz Fabric, we can make those benefits real for the clients while maintaining, as we have done over the last several quarters, the margin profile without doing any other activity below the line and so on. We are very much focused on making sure that the productivity benefit we derive from AI and that it matches to what the clients are asking. Now, there are some times The asks are much higher than what we can derive from the AI productivity, which is where we say that it doesn't fit our economic profile. So we are much more disciplined about that.
Shilpa Fadnes
Journalist, Times of India
Last question, as much as you're doubling down on GCCs, how far are you from a billion dollar milestones? And second, it involves a lot of upfront investments from your side, people, software, takeovers. So if you can help us understand, you know, where you are on that journey.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
GCCs is an incredible growth area, I think. This current phase we announced I think just last week a very large financial services client publicly discussing our work we've done with them on the AI GCC. So there what is happening is Many GCCs have been being built for many years by different companies. And in the last two, three years, there's been an increased push of the AI infusion into the GCC itself. And that's where we have built an even stronger specialization where We can help if you build the GCC 5-7 years ago to help you to transform it and if you're building it now to help you to create it with that AI inside it. Because the recruitment is different, the training is different, the type of people are different, the pyramids are different. So we have an ability to build and scale that up. And which is why clients are working with us more and more where the GCC business is growing quite nicely for us.
Rishi
Thank you, Shilpa. The next question is from Pallami Chatterjee from the Financial Express.
spk02
Good evening. I am just curious, I mean you have underlined the high Competitive pressure when it comes to large deals. Do you have any intention of entering the mid market? There's some of your peers who are already turning their focus to the segment. And also with regards to your FD team, you had shared a target of 6000. Like I'm curious, what is the progress on this and what proportion of your hiring do these roles comprise of currently?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the first one, we typically work with companies, enterprises, organizations which have a huge need for some level of technology transformation. It so happens that many of them are large organizations because they have complex needs. But even today and even in the past, we've always worked with organizations which are not only large, which can also benefit from these activities and that will continue. So there are several examples of that which are long-standing clients of Infosys. The predominant focus is large companies because they have that large need for the tech transformation. On the FDs, the progress is strong. We are also building the internal with the training and we also going with the external with the recruitment and is progressing along. What I think we had shared was the 6000 was over the multiple years and that's exactly how the planning is going right now.
Rishi
Thank you. The next question is from Uma Kannan from the Deccan Herald.
Uma Kannan
Journalist, Deccan Herald
Hi, good evening. Salil, you did speak about cybersecurity, but mine is very specific. This is regarding e-mudra breach. You know, you are using e-mudra solutions, if I'm not wrong. I think so. Though e-mudra said the incident has no connection with its e-science services. What kind of measures are you taking? You know, can you explain?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So there I don't have any specific comments on it right now. I have to look into it a little bit more depth and come back to you.
Uma Kannan
Journalist, Deccan Herald
Okay. So this is with regards to North America and India market. It's kind of your revenue. You know, if I look at this in Q2, it has come down. Any specific reasons and how H2 will be for you FY27?
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
So if you look at India, this quarter the revenue has actually gone up and typically there's a little bit of a seasonality because one of our contracts you do get revenue, it's related to the returns etc. that's being filed in the quarter. The US has been softer over last few quarters and that's pretty much of the industry phenomena. The Europe and the rest of the market has been stronger and when you look at the growth from that perspective, US generally has that. And then there are nuances like we said earlier, one of the sectors which is high tech, slowdown was from a specific client in the US because the client was looking at ramping down, etc. So all of that does impact geographies.
Uma Kannan
Journalist, Deccan Herald
Last time you said 80,000 employees are working on coding tools. I mean, like, what is it happening now? Like, are there any increase in numbers?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so that number is increasing. Also, what we are doing is the certification numbers are going up. The people who are getting trained are going up. Our partnerships with the frontier model companies are going up. So the large companies Thank you, Uma. The next question is from Jas Bardiya from Mint. Hi, good evening. Just a couple of questions.
Jas Bardiya
Journalist, Mint
So if I look at the Q2 guidance that the companies issued this quarter, if we look at the guidance issued during the second quarter, it's I think the weakest in seven years, for the full year that is. This points to, if I do the math, it points towards the fact that the company might grow at its lowest pace in at least three years in FY27. So in the short term, considering there are furloughs in the second half, the mega deal ramps up next year, and also that there is pricing competition for large deals. So what is the company doing to sort of rest this slowing growth? Second, with reference to your ambitions on the AI work in the next three years that Infosys expects to get, Do you expect a lot of this AI spending to be net new or do you expect it to come from existing IT budgets? If you can just throw a little more light on that. And second, in continuation to this question, what will the impact be on the company's margins?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the first, I think what we're doing in terms of where the attention is in revenue and growth is, focus essentially on what we're seeing as the large opportunity for AI services. We shared a few months ago that this opportunity is approximately $300 billion addressable market. We identified six broad areas and then we started to make sure that we invest in building the capability Anand Swaminathan, Salil Satish Parekh We want to make sure that the first continues to grow well and we continue to be the leaders with investment and the second we want to make sure that we have the tools to support it because at the end it's a finite process because once you finish with all the work that you're doing through productivity, it's done. And so that is important. But the real critical thing is where does the AI growth go? Because that is where the leadership comes in terms of what the market and what the client are looking for. And so that's the way we're looking at it. We will see over time how this develops. other point that we are focusing on is what you described the mega deals the large deals because there where you're doing business transformation ai led work other consolidation other cost work that is work that gives us more support for the future in terms of the growth which is what we share that this mega deal will give us uh it's estimated to give us about one percent of growth next year so There are two big dimensions, AI, which is a very long term secular trend. The mega deals, which we have a unique positioning on because we believe with the business transformation and something which we can help craft that we are well positioned. And then, of course, there is the finite amount which will go through in the productivity.
Jas Bardiya
Journalist, Mint
The impact on margins?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
On the margins, what I think we have done is, you know, the program that we started some years ago that Jayesh has led, which is working very well, that's part of the reason that we have maintained our margins. In fact, last year, I think we increased our margins from that. And there's a continuous attention upon making sure that we are taking contracts from clients which meet our economic guidelines. So that has obviously an impact that we don't take every contract. But it also has the impact that our margins are better protected and therefore you see I would say fairly consistent margin over the last several quarters even as the industry has seen some wobbles and we have a very strong cash flow generation machine which has produced this quarter 900 million dollars so that's like more supporting of the fact that our margin is a real margin.
Rishi
Thank you Jas. The next question is from Sanjana from the Hindu Business Line.
Sanjana
Journalist, Hindu Business Line
Good evening, gentlemen. Can you give us an update on the North India market? I think it's seen some softness during the quarter. You know, any factors to sort of explain this? And also, Jayesh, you mentioned that you're ramping up your offshore markets. Presence. Can you talk a little bit about that? Which countries are you exploring? And recently, many smaller GCCs in India have shut shop because of issues related to scaling. Have you seen instances where a lot of these companies have come back to outsource their work to IT services companies like yourself? Thanks.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
Let me start with the second one and then the geography and margin. Jayesh will answer. On the GCCs, I think our approach has been to work with the GCCs to help them scale up, do a big AI transformation or build the new AI ones as they're coming online. There have been companies that, as you mentioned, are looking to do something different with their GCCs and we are also in discussions with some of those where we can either help them or either we can take them and transform them. And those are ongoing discussions that are there.
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
On the segments, if you look at North America, as I said earlier, there have been certain segments which were impacted because of the lower discretionary spend and their client-specific ramp-downs that were mainly from North America and therefore you see a softness in North America. At the same time, other segments like Europe and rest of the world has done really well for us. So, you know, that's a balance there. In terms of offshoring, most of our offshoring is to India. We do use some of the near shore locations, United Times, Mexico, Canada, etc. But when we talk about offshoring, it's always towards India.
Rishi
Thank you. The next question is from Rukmini Rao from Fortune India.
Rukmini Rao
Journalist, Fortune India
Thank you. Jayesh, one, if you're looking at the cost of technical subcontracting, probably from H1 of last year to H1 of this year, it's about 15-16% or so increase. So would it be fair if we are to look at, you know, the AI growth story at Infosys, would a lot of this be fair enough to sort of infer that it is from AI related technical sub costs that are coming up?
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
No, on the contrary, technical subcontractor is a percentage of revenue has remained in the range of 8.9% of the revenue for most of the year last year as well as this year. So it's been between 8 to 9% of the revenue and we expect it to remain in the same range.
Rukmini Rao
Journalist, Fortune India
But just to understand, you know, if the subcontracting costs are going up and if this is related to AI kind of deals that you may require, what I wanted to understand is if you're actually training a lot of people on the AI side, Where is this, you know, the need of expertise coming in from and if Infosys has to fill this gap, would you be looking at probably an acquisition which might be a lot more sensible if it is a long-term kind of engagement that you'd be looking at?
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
No, so look, subcontractors for us has been in this range for a long period of time. There are multiple reasons why it is because at times you need certain skills and certain geography for a short period of time. Right at times you need certain skills immediately by the time you ramp up the projects and or you hire the people you know there's a lead time to hire people but the client expects somebody to be on the project immediately and then you get subcontractors deploy them on the project and then you know over a period of time once you hire somebody you replace that. So that's a process that goes and it's a whole planning cycle that goes behind how and what kind of subcontractors are needed and where are they needed. and that's it. I don't think it is so much about only AI which has led to the subcontractor. It's been there even a pre-AI days a subcontractor has been between around 8% for a long period of time.
Rukmini Rao
Journalist, Fortune India
Salil also in terms of the whole you know AI story that we are looking at for you when it comes to margins from this incremental AI plugins probably in existing contracts that are coming up or even new AI contracts some sense of you know how the how do you see these margins from especially AI led deals sort of heading towards and is this what you are probably banking on to sort of defend your margins if let's say pricing pressure or So, is that something that you're banking on to protect your margins?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So on the AI, we first don't disclose the margin externally, separately on the AI versus the other type of projects. Having said that, we are very comfortable with how the clients are seeing the value that we are providing on the AI. And so we are good with where that is going. The margin of the company overall, not just the AI, we are very comfortable with the guidance of 20 to 22%, which has been consistent for a number of years now. And we see that as critical and important. And in fact, our whole attention of the margin program is As we see the macro changing and other factors stabilizing, this becomes supporting our ambition that margin should be premier in this approach. So we feel good about the margin guidance.
Rukmini Rao
Journalist, Fortune India
Overall Salil if you have to look at you know future do you see AI projects coming up in better margins for you given that you know one of your peers already said that AI projects are coming at a better margin for them so just to understand how you stand.
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So I don't know about the other comment but for us The next question is from Pooja Patil from Businessworld.
Mansi Dave
Journalist, ET Now
There is definitely an AI-related revenue growth that we are seeing, but I want you to understand that how much of this represents genuinely incremental business rather than existing services being reclassified or replaced by AI-led delivery. Also, is AI beginning to put pressure on the traditional billing and pricing models? And one more question with regard to dividend is that what factors determine this 26 rupees interim dividend, particularly with the company lowering its revenue growth and how it enforces balancing shareholder returns with investments in AI capabilities, acquisitions and talent?
Salil Parekh
Chief Executive Officer
So I think the first one was related to the AI revenue growth, revenue growth part of it. I think what we see on that is that the AI revenue growth continues with a lot of strength. It's not something which is replacing what we have. There's a lot of new work that we're doing. For example, one of the areas among those six which are growing well, is where we do work on modernizing a client's environment using AI capability. That is new work. It's not that that was something that we were doing in the past. And so the approach we have taken is the work has to fit into one of those six areas. And that's the work then that we share outside at this 10.5%, which is growing quite well. What was the other one?
Mansi Dave
Journalist, ET Now
The dividend one. What factors led to this much? And how is the company planning, especially with the lowering revenue growth?
Jayesh Sanghrajka
Chief Financial Officer
So I think if you look at our capital allocation policy that we rolled out almost two years back, we had very clearly said that 85% of the free cash flow that we generate we will return back to shareholders over a five-year period. It will be a combination of dividend and buyback and within that it will be a progressively increasing dividend. So we have already committed What is the money that we will pay back to shareholders over a five-year period, right? And we are executing on that. Last year's dividend was, last quarter's dividend was 25 and therefore we have increased that from that to 26 now. And we are just executing on that at this point in time. We have had a robust cash flow generation as Salil said, so all of that is reflecting in the increasing dividend that the board has recommended.
Rishi
Thank you. With that, we come to the end of this press conference. Thank you, our friends from media. Thank you, Salil. Thank you, Jayesh. Before we conclude, please note that the archive webcast of this press conference will be available on the Infosys website and on our YouTube channel later today. Please join us for some high tier. Thank you and have a very good evening.