O Realty Income Corp.
$62.74
Realty Income Corp. Q2 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
AI Conference Call Analysis
Sign in or subscribe to read.Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
unique investor bases while minimizing our global and blended cost of debt. On the equity side, our private capital has reduced our reliance on the public equity markets to fund our growth. As a result, we have meaningfully lowered our public equity consumption as a percentage of investment volume, comprising only 18% of investment volume year to date compared to an average of 47% over the past three years. Year to date, we have settled only $825 million of forward equity to close on $4.7 billion of pro rata investment activity, all while maintaining leverage within our five and a half times target level. This reflects the benefit of our recent capital initiatives, which have diversified our sources of equity capital. Turning to our 2026 outlook, as Sumit mentioned, we are increasing our full year AFO per share guidance range to 444 to 445. We're also increasing our full-year acquisitions guidance to $10 billion, up from $9.5 billion previously, given the strength of our investment pipeline and the confidence in our ability to source and execute attractive opportunities. At our share, we expect to invest approximately $9 billion during 2026. We are also holding our 2026 credit loss outlook flat at around 40 basis points of rental revenue, reflecting stable operating performance across our client base. Notably, We are not raising our lease termination income guidance. We recorded approximately $1 million in the second quarter and continue to expect $45 million to $50 million for the full year. As a result, the increase in AFFO guidance reflects the underlying strength of the business in terms of investment volumes, yields, modest credit losses, the successful execution of several capital markets transactions, and our expectations for continued momentum throughout the balance of 2026. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Sumit.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Jonathan. In summary, the second quarter represented disciplined execution across the platform, highlighted by continued performance of a high-quality portfolio, disciplined capital allocation at attractive yields, and the curation of unique capital vehicles that provide realty income with durable financing engine to accelerate AFFO share growth in the years ahead. With that, I would now like to open it up for questions. Rocco?
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. We'll now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. If your question has already been addressed and would like to remove yourself from queue, please press star then 2. Once again, that's star then 1 if you have a question. And today's first question comes from Michael Goldsmith at UBS. Please go ahead.
Michael Goldsmith
Analyst, UBS
Good afternoon. Thanks a lot for taking my question. The acquisition cap rates during the quarter were 6.4%, which is a bit lower than what you saw last quarter. Is that a reflection of mixed competition or something else? Does that have to play into also the industrial assets with the elevated lease escalators? And just how should we think about the accretion on cap rates of 6.4%?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, that's a great question. The idea here is to always try to blend to a number that is, you know, getting us back to our historical spreads, Michael. And the blended cap rate or the investment yield is 7.4%. And when you think about, you know, the portion, you know, north of 600 million was in the fund, that was where the lower yielding cap rates went. And that was by design. because that's why the fund was created. You know, stuff that we couldn't accretively buy on balance sheet was going to be allocated to the fund where the long-term return hurdles were going to be met, but, you know, that initial accretion was not. And so what's remaining is, you know, has a profile that gets us to our historical spreads of circa 150 basis points. That's how you should think about our investments.
Michael Goldsmith
Analyst, UBS
Thanks for that clarification. And then just as a follow-up, can you provide an update of where we are in terms of generating the income as the amount in the quarter? Is that kind of the right run rate, or do you expect that to accelerate from here? And then also, how much is included in the underlying guidance? Thank you.
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Hey, Michael. So, if you look at the supplement, I believe it's page 22, we do show Management Fee Income to Realty Income is about $3.2 million for the quarter. The majority of that, obviously, is for the U.S. Core Plus Fund. We had raised $1.7 billion during our cornerstone round, and as of early July, we had drawn down all of the capital that is now fee generating. There is also a separate component of that that is attributed to the insurance JV, which that we announced back in March. And so in totality, that's where you get the 3.2. In terms of guidance, you know, we've talked about this before, but you expect around $10 million or so for the fund in terms of management fees. And then, you know, perhaps there'll be perhaps 2 to 3 million attributable to the insurance JV.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question today comes from Brad Heffern at RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Brad Heffern
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Hey, afternoon, everybody. Thanks for the questions. Obviously, rates have been bouncing around a lot, but generally going up. But we've also been hearing some of your peers talk about some slight cap rate compression. I guess, first, are you seeing that as well? And then do you think higher rates will eventually flow through or are competitive dynamics preventing that from happening?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
That's a great question, Brad. You know, it's a very strange environment, really, because this inverse correlation that exists between, you know, how net lease generally trade versus the tenure largely holds true. But what has happened over the last two months is that, you know, that inverse correlation hasn't held true. And so it really is a question of what is going to happen to the 10-year, what is the forward outlook, not so much where it's trading at today, that's going to dictate what's going to happen to cap rates. We've oftentimes talked about cap rates being a trailing variable when it comes to interest rate, the 10-year treasury. If the view is that the tenure is going to be in this 4.6 to potentially 5% zip code, then what we have historically seen is cap rates do follow. But you mentioned it in your question, the way you framed it, there is a lot more competition here in the U.S. There are a lot more new entrants on the private side, along with a few on the public side. and so there is that competitive dynamics that's going to keep cap rates lower, but ultimately in a highly elevated cost of capital environment, cap rates will need to adjust.
Brad Heffern
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Okay, got it. Thank you for that. And then you talked a bit about the positive European outlook in the prepared comments. I wanted to specifically zoom in on the UK. Cost of debt seems pretty unattractive over there, especially compared to Euro debt So are you seeing upward pressure on cap rates in the UK to reflect that, or is it just a less appealing market right now?
Neil
Executive Vice President, International Investments
Neil? Thanks, Sumit. Brad, in response to that question, I think we have countervailing effects. One, of course, is the sort of macro malaise change in the PM and the move-in rates. Against that, what you have is institutional capital coming in, and you can see this more broadly across Europe as well. and it started really with malls or shopping centers as they're called over there. And there's quite an aggressive bid for those kinds of assets. So in the UK, almost perversely, we're actually seeing institutional capital coming in in good size and driving down cap rates. And then while we haven't bought retail parks or multi-tenant retail across the continent, there is also now one or two larger private equity players driving consolidation I think the industrial logic is that they sort of missed that play in the UK but there's still an opportunity across Europe and the low level of base rates makes it actually quite accretive on a levered basis and so I don't think we're seeing upward pressure on cap rates in the UK or frankly much of Europe with the exception of Germany and I think you know if anything The pressure on cap rates downward on retail parks in the UK will continue.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question tonight comes from Rob Stevenson at Huntington.
Rob Stevenson
Analyst, Huntington Bancshares
Good afternoon, guys. Sumit, how should we be thinking about how much of the $5 billion or so of second-half investments in the guidance is likely to be put on Realty Income's balance sheet and financed by the REIT versus going into various JVs, funds, partnerships, and anything new that you would create over the remainder of the year?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so that 500, so we've said, you know, we are going to do about $10 billion. That's the guidance. And what we have shared with the market is that $9 billion of that $10 is going to be on balance sheet. And if you see what we've invested year to date on the fund, we have largely used up the equity, the cornerstone equity, actually, we've completely used up all of the equity that we've raised. And so The only assets that are going to go on the fund will be the leverage capacity that the fund has that is still available to it. And that's going to be obviously, you know, it's the same ratio, one-third, two-thirds. So we've got about, you know, $1.7 billion that we've raised in equity. We've got about, you know, one-third of that amount in leverage capacity to deploy. But the rest of it will be on balance sheet.
Rob Stevenson
Analyst, Huntington Bancshares
Okay, that's helpful. And then with these various funds, JVs, partnerships, et cetera, that you now have in place, do you have all of the sources of capital that you guys think that you need to execute the business plan over the next couple of years? Or should we expect to see more of these types of partnerships and JVs being announced over the next six to 12 months, given what your pipeline looks like?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
So Rob, I think in terms of the product that we are going to pursue from an investment perspective, that's largely defined. We've been talking about our desire to go into data centers. We have now formed joint ventures. Is it possible that there could continue to be other JVs that we form with developers who have a very healthy pipeline that fits our box? The answer is yes. and especially on the heels of the conversation, on the heels of the announcement that we've made, there are some very interesting conversations that are taking place and that is much more in line with what we've already shared. The other asset types are ones that we are just continuing to invest in and obviously the fact that we've created these multiple channels of geography and asset types, we are going where the best risk-adjusted returns are. On the financing side is where we are sort of still new in the game. And the rationale behind why we did what we did was to try to sort of leverage the platform that we have with a lot lower cost of capital, lot lower cost of equity capital, let me be more precise, that we could then generate earnings contribution through the fee stream. And I would say that, you know, we've That's the journey that we are on. And I've heard Jonathan mention it as an ecosystem that we are trying to create where we are maximizing the utilization of a platform with trying to attract the lowest cost of equity capital that wants to leverage and wants to pay fees and basically be exposed to net lease investing. So, you know, I won't go so far as to say what we've shared with you is the end all and be all of all equity capital sources. I would characterize it as it's the beginning and there'll be other channels. But what we are going to be acutely focused on is to make sure that the overlap on these various different sources of equity capital, private sources of equity capital, is very minimal. We want to make sure that we're using our platform very judiciously to serve these various different sources of capital, make each one of them very successful, so that this fee stream that we are able to generate continues to be one that is a very high level of permanence and one that we can count on and our shareholders can benefit from in years to come.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question today comes from Smides Rose at Citi. Please go ahead.
Smides Rose
Analyst, Citi
Hi, thank you. Just to follow up on kind of your acquisitions outlook, it looks like for your portion, the back half of the year is estimated around $4.3 billion, so that suggests it decelerates a little bit from what you saw in the first half. Could you maybe just speak to kind of what you're seeing there? Is it slowdown by design? Are you being conservative? Is competition heating up? I'm just interested in any kind of color around that outlook.
Mark
Executive Vice President, Acquisitions
Mark? Yeah, thanks for the question. I think that with the guidance at $10 billion and the first half total investments of 5.3, I don't think there's a lot of deceleration in there.
Smides Rose
Analyst, Citi
Well, I'm just looking at your portion. You said for your portion it would be $9 billion for the year.
Mark
Executive Vice President, Acquisitions
Yeah, that's the overall global investment amount. But it's not driven by anything that we're seeing in the market conditions in terms of deceleration. In fact, it's really the opposite. We increased our overall, you know, volume guidance because of the strength and robustness of the pipeline. And so, you know, as we're sitting here today, we really feel great about the pipeline and about at least, you know, another strong second half of the year. Yes.
Smides Rose
Analyst, Citi
Okay. And then you – yeah, go ahead. Sorry.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Okay. You know, forecasting out and trying to back into, you know, what is the delta between what we have forecasted versus what we haven't. What I can tell you from a, you know, pipeline perspective, from the health of the pipeline, from what we are seeing, we feel great.
Smides Rose
Analyst, Citi
Great. Okay. And I just on that, you know, you obviously leaned into industrial in the quarter. Just wondering, is that a primary focus going forward from here, or are you happy with the kind of exposure that you have in that asset class at this point?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Industrial has always been a focus of ours. You know, we obviously can't go into the three cap deals that we just saw recently announced, but industrial, single-tenant industrial more specifically, across various geographies has always been something that we've leaned into and the way we are playing that is through the development channel. It's partnering with the best in class developers and being able to generate yields with more of a built to suit characteristic rather than a spec characteristic where we are able to meet the hurdles that we need to meet in order to generate the spread investing that you and our shareholders are used to seeing. So what you're seeing today is and I'm sure you've heard it from other industrial companies, is what we expect to be a new trend where absorption rates are trending very positive, vacancies are at all-time lows, and what's driving this demand is much more widespread than e-commerce, which was the driver of industrial demand four, five years ago. It's much more broad-based. It's industrial. It's manufacturing. It's data center equipment that needs to be stored in warehouses, et cetera, that is also driving some of the demand. And so we feel very good about the pipeline that we've created, and we are being able to do it at cap rates and investment yields that make sense to us through a combination of investing on the credit side as well as on the equity side.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question today comes from Handel St. Just with Mizuho. Please go ahead.
Handel St.
Analyst, Mizuho Securities
Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. Sumit, maybe starting with you, I guess I was intrigued by some of the comments you were making about capitalizing on the market to do some portfolio recycling, improving the quality of your on-balance sheet assets. I'm curious how much of the portfolio ballpark might be subject to being upgraded, recycled. Sounds like you're doing a bit more upgrade here. Is that something we should expect near term and maybe some color perspective on the difference in cap rates or bumps in what you're buying versus selling? Thanks.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
That's a great question, Handel. I think in the prepared remarks, you picked up on our desire to continue to recycle capital. Obviously, we have talked about there are certain metrics that we are very focused on, internal growth being one of them, duration of the lease term being another, being exposed to credit that we have a long-term view on and we feel comfortable with. another metric that we are going to be very focused on. And this capital recycling that we would like to continue to lean into is largely on a pro forma basis going to help make each one of these variables that I just mentioned accretive. And so that's the desire. And it could be, you know, obviously leaning into the data center side, leaning into the industrial side and repositioning Our overall portfolio to make sure that our net lease metrics that we focus on, KPIs that we are very focused on, continues to move in the right direction through this capital recycling.
Smides Rose
Analyst, Citi
That's great, Carla. Thank you for that.
Handel St.
Analyst, Mizuho Securities
Jonathan, a question for you. Maybe if you'll allow me to part of just, I want to get some clarification on what's in the other adjustments per share. Looks like we excluded that. The AFFO per share guide would be down. Maybe I'm misinterpreting it, so maybe some color on that. And then just some color or thoughts on the duration of the loan book. Seems like there's a decent amount of high-yielding paper maturing the next couple years. I'm curious if you guys are expecting to be able to originate more or how you plan on managing that dilution. Thanks.
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Hey, Handel. So the other category is really nothing new. It's primarily FX-related gains or losses that are non-cash in nature. You also have, you know, other CECL-related type of impacts as well. But, you know, that's nothing that would, you know, raise to the level of a cash adjustment that would impact AFFO and shouldn't impact AFFO given that it's non-cash and it's not recurring. I would say on the loan tenor, assuming you're talking about the investments that we make, you know, look, we've talked about this before. But when you think about the right hand side of our balance sheet, when you think about, you know, legacy balance sheet with a fair amount of debt that's rolling every single year, you know, this provides a nice hedge, if you will, a natural hedge where, you know, if rates go down, yes, theoretically, there's reinvestment risk. but also the other side of our ledger is also much more attractive in refinancing on much lower rates and vice versa. So we manage it, we look at it just as closely as we look at the liability side of the balance sheet and that's how we risk mitigate and forecast what our exposure is should there be various scenarios play out in the rate environment.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Amoteo Akusanya with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Amoteo Akusanya
Analyst, Deutsche Bank
Yes, good afternoon, everyone. Just along Handel's line of questioning in terms of capital recycling, could we see that also manifest itself as kind of new JVs or doing more with your current JV partners or how do you kind of think or are you kind of thinking much more of just kind of outright asset sales?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, the idea being recycling. So yes, we are continuously looking at our portfolio, Omotayo, and we are trying to figure out, you know, where are the assets that are mispriced in the market where we don't have a long-term hold, strategic outlook on certain portions of our portfolio, and we'd much rather sell those assets, raise that capital and redeploy it in either asset types or geographies or risk adjusted opportunities where we feel we have a much higher conviction on holding long term. That's what we are talking about. It's not supposed to represent you know, additional JVs, et cetera. That is not the idea behind the capital recycling that you should sort of think about when we are talking about capital recycling.
Amoteo Akusanya
Analyst, Deutsche Bank
Thanks for the clarification.
Rocco
Operator
Sure. Thank you. And our next question today comes from Alex Fagan with Baird. Please go ahead.
Alex Fagan
Analyst, Baird
Hey, thanks for taking that question. On the data center hyperscale deals, can you speak if after these three assets, are you diversifying your tenant base or the end tenant base for your data center portfolio?
Mark
Executive Vice President, Acquisitions
Sure, thanks for the question. Yes, we are. Obviously, we announced the transaction three years ago with two data centers in Northern Virginia that had a specific tenant in it. The transaction that we just announced last month, that's three data centers, has varied tenants in it that are different than the original two. So we currently have the five assets with different tenants in them. And going forward, as we continue to build out our data center portfolio, that is one thing that we're going to keep our mind on as part of our strategy in terms of, obviously, we want to focus on the investment grade rated hyperscalers and enterprise users. and those work well for us, but we are gonna be very mindful of making sure that we balance our concentration to any particular assets, tenants, sorry, rather.
Alex Fagan
Analyst, Baird
Nice. And kind of on the tenant question broadly, should we expect any new top 20 tenants entering the portfolio this year?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Well, Alec, when that happens, it'll be, announced, and I think it will be viewed very positively. Obviously, these data center clients tend to be very large, and when those close, could it potentially reshuffle our top 20? The answer is yes, but it will be viewed very positively, in my opinion.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Ronald Camden with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Ronald Camden
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Great. Just staying on the data center portfolio theme, maybe can you talk a little bit more about sort of the economics, whether it's sort of stabilized yields or price per megawatt, just your views on that going forward and also on the competition, right? Because I think there's a lot of big private equity players out there. There's other public capital. Just what that environment is like to get these deals through. Thanks.
Mark
Executive Vice President, Acquisitions
Sure. Thanks, Ron. Let me hit the second part of the question first, if that's OK. Yes, there are a lot of people in the sector right now, both on the development side and people wanting to invest capital into this sector. So there is a lot of competition for both developing these assets and owning them. I think that one of the important things, though, is that there are a lot that are still in the development phase, if we're talking about the large hyperscale data centers. There's probably a lack of a natural home for the ultimate long-term ownership of those assets. Some of the developers may want to keep ownership of them for the long term, but others do not. And so that does create, despite the competition out there and the players in the sector going after some of these assets, for somebody like us whose model focuses on holding long-leased assets that have clients with strong IG credit ratings and with good annual bumps, there's a natural sweet spot for us to be long-term holders of that. And so I think that makes us perhaps a little bit different than some of the other people who are playing in the space right now. In terms of your question on cap rates, I think there's still a bit of just overall discovery going on in the market. There are a lot of these large assets are still rolling from the development phase into the potentially changing hands for the stabilized phase. And I think there's been some transactions that have been In the market recently, they've been announced where there's some cap rate data out there on them. And I think that's a good indication of kind of where cap rates are right now for these types of assets.
Ronald Camden
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Great. And then my second one, if I may, I think just going back, I think the comments were 40 basis points in terms of children's bad debt for this year. Just can you remind us the watch list, sort of any changes over the last three months, any sort of larger tenants, or does it remain pretty Pretty granular. Thanks.
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Hey, Ron. The watch list remains in the high 5% area and, you know, it's a very granular watch list. I think there's 137 individual tenants that comprise that with a median of about two basis points. So, you know, at the very top, you know, it's usual suspects. I would say it's home furnishings, it's casual dining, and then drops off pretty significantly thereafter. So when you're thinking about any changes to credit quality in the portfolio, very stable, some things have come out, some things have gone on, gone in. But broadly speaking, from a guidance perspective or from a forecast perspective, the 40 basis points does still feel fairly conservative. And I'll remind folks that our historical credit loss across our entire history has been in the Thank you. And our next question today comes from Jim Kammer at Evercore.
Rocco
Operator
Please go ahead.
Jim Kammer
Analyst, Evercore
Good afternoon. Thank you. Again, if I go back to the data centers, there's no doubt there's an abundant opportunity out there for realty income. I'm just curious if I play devil's advocate. If you're underwriting these to zero residual value, given your bumps and you're going in representative cap rates, what would the zero residual value IRRs look like today?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Jim, we're not going to go into the details, but that is definitely one of the scenarios that one should look at. There's been a lot of debate about residual values, the fungibility of these assets. which is why the box that we've created takes into account where these data centers are located, what is the throughput required, do we see Northern Virginia suddenly in 20 years' time when the lease has come due no longer be the epicenter of data center world, or do we see data centers' demands completely dry up? And so based on that, you run various different scenarios and that is one of the reasons why we sort of lean into these very long duration leases, 15 to 20 years and preferably 20. And we are trying to partner with developers who have the ability such as cloud to get these types of long duration contracts with very minimal responsibilities on the landlord side. And so what we feel is when we run these various different scenarios, we are very comfortable with the downside. We are very comfortable assuming the outcome if the world were to completely fall apart and it is in fact going to be sold for land at the end. That is certainly a scenario we run, but the way we try to mitigate it is by looking at all of these other factors. What kind of an asset is it? What's the duration of the lease? What's the growth you're getting in it? What's your going in yield? Those are the things that you sort of protect, you know, will allow you protection when you're running these downside and Herculean scenarios. So that's how I would leave it.
Jim Kammer
Analyst, Evercore
That's fair. And then quickly, what was your tolerance in terms of absolute exposure to data centers as a percent of ABR or your gross investment?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
We are not targeting a percentage of our portfolio needs to be data centers. What we are seeing is a once-in-a-generation demand for a particular asset type that has clients that we are very attracted to in locations that we find very interesting. And, you know, we are having multiple conversations. How many of those conversations actually translate over to transactions, time will tell. But this is a fascinating environment for us, and we are very excited about the deals that we do get over the finish line, the deals that we pursue and are able to sort of enter into. We're going to talk about it, and we'll be able to defend those every day. But we are as focused on some of the obsolescence risk and the residual risk that people talk about. And there are obviously mitigants that we have built into the process to make sure that we only engage in transactions that have a return profile that meets our overall long-term return expectations.
Jim Kammer
Analyst, Evercore
Thank you, Mr. Kellerman. Thank you. Sure.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from Jason Wayne of Barclays. Please go ahead.
Jason Wayne
Analyst, Barclays
Thanks for the question. to step away from the data centers. So on the rest of the investment pipeline, you said you were still interested in Europe. Just wondering if you could give kind of a mix of what's in the pipeline today. Sure, Neil would take that.
Neil
Executive Vice President, International Investments
Sure. So look, I would say the mix today is largely reflective of the kinds of things we've done in the past and continue to like. So we're looking at deals in grocery, in DIY, on the industrial logistics space. And generally, many of these are with marquee names in their country or globally. Some of the industrial deals, as Sumit alluded to, are development driven. The majority of what we're looking at today, I would say, is in markets where there is also a theme that we're looking to play, whether it's onshoring or advanced manufacturing. And I think The pipeline looks quite good across Europe as we look at the back half of the year.
Jason Wayne
Analyst, Barclays
Got it. And then you mentioned that public equity funding was down to 18% of your investment volume this year. Is there any kind of long-term target there since the private capital is obviously more one-time in nature?
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Look, Jason, I think it's going to depend on circumstances. and you know we're not saying we're never going to touch the public equity markets it's been very good to us over the years that it's a very deep market but we don't want to be beholden to just one source so whether it's 18 percent whether it's 50 a lot of it's going to be dependent on what other partnerships and how we grow our existing partnerships and and sources of private capital and then obviously the bigger question is you know the the volume of opportunities that that we see is is very robust so It's hard to put a number there. What we do want to make clear is that all of these sources of private capital are meant to, as Sumit mentioned, not overlap with one another, but also increase the buy box for us. And so there are deals that are very high quality, and I think you see that with the Core Plus Fund in terms of what we're putting into the fund that we haven't been buying on balance sheet because of the lower initial yield. So I think from that standpoint, the reason we went into this a matter of a few years ago was really to solve that one underlying question as to whether or not we could expand our sources of equity beyond the public markets, maintain a level of scarcity value in our securities, and not have as much exposure to a very volatile source of funding.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, and Jason, just to be very clear, you mentioned that it's one time in nature. It's the exact opposite of what we've created. I mean, the open-ended fund, by definition, will be a vehicle that will continue to raise capital out into the future. That's the reason why we constructed it as an open-ended vehicle rather than a closed-end fund. The JV that we have at GIC is meant to be a programmatic JV. Once we've utilized the initial capital commitment, the hope is that they will continue to deploy more and more capital with us. It's a similar situation with Apollo. So we are shying away from partnerships, et cetera, which is one time in nature or closed-ended in nature, primarily because we want this fee stream to be permanent and growing. into the future. So I just wanted to make that one correction, Jason.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question today comes from Janet Galen with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Janet Galen
Analyst, Bank of America
Thank you. Good afternoon and congrats on the quarter. Jonathan, I just wanted to follow up on the guidance increase to better understand the driver of the two cent increase at the midpoint. I guess there's no change to bad debt, no change to fees. is it just primarily the higher investment volumes?
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
A lot of what drives AFSO in a very finite span of time is timing and then obviously what we haven't discussed is capital markets because for obvious reasons we don't give capital markets guidance and so I think between those two dynamics especially that we're sitting here in August right now and a lot of the capital markets execution risk have been taken off the table. And given the fact that we have much better visibility today on a deal pipeline and, importantly, the timing of when those deals will close, that gave us a lot more comfort to take this guidance range up. So I think it's really a combination of just de-risking certain question marks that you inherently have at the beginning of the year, and then obviously a very attractive pipeline of deals with more certain closing dates.
Janet Galen
Analyst, Bank of America
Great. Thank you very much.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. And our next question today comes from Anthony Powell and JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Anthony Powell
Analyst, JPMorgan
Yeah, thanks. Good evening. I have a question about just the allocation of capital and your investments across these various buckets. I was wondering what A wholly owned acquisition yield needs to look like for it to be interesting. And the reason I ask is when I look at what you're doing, it seems like eights and nines on some of the loan investments and the sevens on the development and the fee enhancements from your various private capital sources will get you into the sevens as well. So when you get to a wholly owned deal, what does that have to look like to kind of be interesting and competitive?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, the answer is it's different by geography, Anthony. That's the reality. And that is something that we are tracking on a weekly basis. We have hurdle rates that need to be met because we need to permanently finance it. And what we try to generate is 150 basis points of spread. That's what we've historically achieved. And given dynamics that might be unique to certain geographies, you know the cap rates need to to get to those levels is going to differ. Obviously you know the cost of capital also comes into play especially in places like Europe where they just tend to be a lot lower given the the cost of debt but the corollary is also true you know in in places like the UK I think there was a previous question that was asked you know the cost of debt is is slightly higher and therefore the expectation is that deals need to have a higher yield to satisfy that 150 basis points of spread. So there isn't one cap rate. And it is definitely something that we track very, very closely and the team tracks very closely.
Anthony Powell
Analyst, JPMorgan
Okay. And I just have one just item that I'm curious about. Your fee earning AUM I think went up $1.3 billion from 1Q to 2Q. But when I look at like What your investment activity was, it was, you know, a half a billion dollar difference between everything you did versus your share. Am I confusing concepts? I would have thought that AUM would go up kind of with that difference.
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Anthony, I think you should think about the Apollo JV, right? That was a contribution of assets off our balance sheet. And we are getting fees off of, you know, the portion that we are managing on behalf of. our partner there.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Greg McGinnis at Scotiabank. Please go ahead.
Greg McGinnis
Analyst, Scotiabank
Hey, good afternoon. Not to belabor the point here, but taking us back to data centers for a moment. Are you open to data center investment in Europe? Curious how returns there are compared to the U.S. And then are you avoiding investing in the development phase or is that just the nature of the agreement with cloud that you would wait until stabilization?
Mark
Executive Vice President, Acquisitions
Sure. Thanks, Greg. Thanks for the question. Without going into the specifics of the cloud transaction, I think your first part of your question, which was whether we'd be interested in investing in Europe or outside the U.S., the answer is yes to that. You know, we're certainly in a lot of different countries now in Europe. There are some very good data center markets there as well, the flat Bs plus some other, you know, emerging, very attractive markets. So that is absolutely something that we would be open to. I think, and as part of the Cloud JV that we announced, as you saw, that that could present us with opportunities not only in the U.S., but also in Europe. Your question about, I think, cap rates and yields, and this ties back into Sumit's earlier answer, it really is dependent on a country-by-country basis. I mean, cap rates can be different, asking cap rates can be different, but our cost of capital also varies by region, by country, and so hard to give you a definitive answer on that other than, like everything else, depending on what country those data center assets might be in, we're going to underwrite them and seek to get the same historical spreads and returns that we would normally get.
Greg McGinnis
Analyst, Scotiabank
And then in terms of investing in the development phase versus post-stabilization?
Mark
Executive Vice President, Acquisitions
Yeah, thanks. Sorry, I forgot about that part of the question. There are ways that we can, for example, and I think we've mentioned this, what led to our cloud JV and the three seed assets was actually by lending during the development phase of projects. And so, you know, that is something that we can do. We can play in different parts of these phases of these assets, not just, you know, with cloud, but with other potential transactions as well.
Greg McGinnis
Analyst, Scotiabank
Okay, thanks. And then on the loan investments, the initial yields were up to 9.2% this quarter. Is there anything in particular that was driving up that yield? And assuming a similar kind of rate environment going forward, are your expectations, you know, what are you, I guess, what are your expectations on turning those investments into real estate versus recycling that capital back into more loans?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
It could have multiple reasons as to why we do the credit investments, Greg. Part of it is precisely what Mark was mentioning, that it is a way for us to then have access to the real estate, which is acting as the collateral in the development phase. And we are able to, depending on where we invest, able to get outsized returns depending on the risk that is associated with that investment. but the idea has always been that we will use credit investments to either have a channel to owning that real estate because that's one way to play it or to build relationships with operators that have a pipeline of assets that we are interested in. And more often than not, the investments that we are making is secured by real estate. Real estate that we would love to own You know, and so that's the thinking and thesis behind the yields. If it's obviously a stabilized asset, the yields tend to be lower. If it's during the development phase, the yields are going to be higher. So that's definitely going to be a function of the risk inherent in those investments. That will dictate what the yield is.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Eric Borden at BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Eric Borden
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Great, thanks. Just going back to the guidance raised on the two cents at the midpoint, when you mentioned capital markets execution risk being taken off the table, is that primarily related to debt issuance or equity funding and cross currency financing or is just the overall funding visibility for the pipeline greater increased?
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
The combination of all of that, Eric, I would say You know, obviously debt financing, we've taken a lot of that risk off the table. The European markets and the shape of the FX curve has been very beneficial to us. And importantly, you know, a lot of what we've done on the acquisitions and investment side, you know, is Euro denominated. So we've had a net investment hedge capacity that can match fund the financing in the same currency as where we're getting rent and where we're deploying our capital. On the equity side, you can see we've got $1.3 billion of unsettled forward equity. And that's at a reasonable price, but certainly that's a risk where you have initial guidance that you come out with in February where you don't want to take for granted that you're going to be able to have that type of equity cost. And then I'd also say, just looking forward, part of it is also thinking about yields. And if we have more visibility to the pipeline, In terms of volume, you can assume that we would have pretty good visibility in terms of yields, which translates directly into investment spreads. And so, you know, I would say it's really a combination of all the factors that you mentioned there.
Eric Borden
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Great, thanks. And then just on the same store revenue growth of 1.2% in the quarter with strength from the industrial and gaming sectors, but there was an offset of 5.1% decline from the other bucket. Just hopefully you could provide some more color on what's driving the underperformance in that category, whether it's a specific asset type or tenant cohort.
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, so when you look at the footnote in terms of other, you do see that we've added Hotel to that category. And so the quantum itself is not meaningful, but I would say it is an asset that we assumed from a prior merger. And we feel like we're coming to a good resolution on this, but there was a little bit of nonpayment of rent that we absorbed in the second quarter.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Upal Reyna with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Upal Reyna
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets
Great, thank you. Sumit, on your updated investment guidance of $10 billion, is that a reasonable annual deployment run rate we should be expecting for the company can achieve going forward? Not looking for any future guidance numbers, but just there were some larger investments this year, so just curious if that's a level that we should expect going forward.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Well, Upal, in 22, we did $9 billion. In 23 or 21, one of those years, we did $9.5 billion. So this is the third year that we are forecasting to do north of $9 billion. And all we've done is expanded our investable channels, and we've expanded our geography. So Look, we are very comfortable guiding to 2026 at $10 billion. And obviously, we've been very open about the areas that we would like to invest in. We've talked about once in a generational opportunity on the data center side. Those are the things that I would ask you to consider. In terms of sourcing, we are sourcing, you know, year to date, we've sourced north of $62 billion. And this is very much in line with you know the all-time high that we had in 2025 and every year as we've expanded these investable channels and geographies you know our sourcing numbers have gone up so I mean one could even make the argument if we had a better cost of capital things would be even simpler But I'm not going to go into whether $10 billion is the right run rate or not. I can speak to this year being something that we are very, very confident about and very much believe in meeting.
Upal Reyna
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets
Okay, great. That was helpful. And then just a quick one on the new client run recapture rate. I know it only represents about 10% of the total releasing, but it was materially below the portfolio average. So just wanted to get your comments on what was driving that.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
The 102.7% was materially lower than our guidance. I don't believe we give guidance on recapture rates. And so my team is showing me some numbers. Oh, you're talking about with new clients. Correct. I understand. So there were very few assets that went through, you know, a new client. And, Upal, what I would ask you to focus on is what is the blended rate that we are able to achieve? You know, for the right client, we are absolutely willing to give rent haircuts and enter into, you know, a longer-term contract with more growth. Those are things that we will continue to play. And what we have said is we are a very mature, highly effective asset management business. And those are going to be areas that you will see fluctuate quarter over quarter. But what we focus on is when you take that into consideration along with releasing of the same clients, What are we blending out to? Is that a positive number? And I would say that this almost 103%, that has largely been the case quarter in, quarter out since we've been tracking this number over the last eight, nine years now. So that's something we talked about 10 years ago when asset management wasn't as big a part of our business. But today, what is it, Jeanine? Close to $400 million of leases that are rolling on an annual basis, and it'll be closer to $500 in the years to come. So it is very much a big part of our business, and it'll continue to be a driver of growth, and it's a team that I'm very proud of, and they continue to post amazing results for us.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. Our next question today comes from Jake Hornreich at Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.
Jake Hornreich
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Hey, thanks. Just one question for me on the private capital fund. You mentioned deploying the initial $1.7 billion of equity from the private core plus fund. So wondering just, you know, where do you go from here? You know, were there any limits or barriers that led to the initial raise being that $1.7 billion? And then how should we think about the private capital fund growing in size from here?
Jonathan Kellerman
Chief Financial Officer
Hey, Jay. So I think one way to think about it is for a cornerstone raise, that's when the big initiative is to build the AUM. And once you get that capital in the door and then you've proven that you can deploy it accretively, there's a performance track record that we are trying to build here. And you generally need a three-year track record until you can come back to the market and really open up the floodgates for more capital. I'll remind everyone that Sumit mentioned earlier, open-end, perpetual fund, which in the environment we've been in is not exactly the most active market from a fundraising standpoint. We were able to buck that trend, but now the focus is on performance. And so I think where we go from here is there's a lot of focus internally on making sure that We're making all the right decisions. Should there be capital recycling? Obviously, the deployment of the capital has been a big focus on the right deals with the right underwriting and the right structuring. And so we're constantly going to be open for business in terms of trying to raise capital. But the expectation was always you get the cornerstone capital in the door, you deploy it, you manage it, you show results. And then three years in, that's when your next round starts to really take off.
Jake Hornreich
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Okay, that's helpful context. That's all for me.
Rocco
Operator
And our next question tonight comes from Spencer Glimcher with Green Street Advisors. Please go ahead.
Spencer Glimcher
Analyst, Green Street Advisors
Yeah, thank you. As realty income continues to find accretive ways to grow, I'm just curious how big you envision the credit platform could be as a percent of overall investment volume in any one given year. And then can you remind us, do you have a dedicated team looking for these credit opportunities?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
I'll answer your second question first, Spencer. Yes, we do. We had dedicated folks here in the U.S. as well as in Europe looking for transactions on the credit side of the equation. In terms of how big we would like for this to be, we don't – again, just like there was a question on asset type composition and what we want data centers to be or industrial to be – We view credit as a way to ultimately get to owning assets fee simple. That is how we are using credit to enhance relationships with developers, to cultivate relationships with developers, and gain access to the real estate that we have a long-term view on. And so today, it's a very small portion of our balance sheet. It's circa $3 billion. It's our credit investments. and we feel like it has allowed us access to channels that wouldn't have been available to us had we not gone down this path. And while we are investing higher up on the balance sheet with better collateral while generating yields that are quite compelling. And so if that leads to then owning real estate, I think it's a channel that we want to continue to lean into. But Obviously this is not something that's going to dominate our balance sheet. We are not a lending, we are not a bank, but it is a way to sort of cultivate relationships that allows us to execute our core business, which is owning net lease assets, long-term net lease assets.
Spencer Glimcher
Analyst, Green Street Advisors
Okay, great. And then maybe just circling back to the capital recycling, I know you provided a lot of great color around The direction there. But it looks like you've sold more occupied assets this quarter as a percent of your total disposition. So just speaking to your more proactive asset management, I'm just curious, was there any one credit or industry that drove elevated asset management in 2Q or was this just a slightly busier quarter?
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, look, I hope that this trend continues. What you're going to see, Spencer, is that it could be a credit market. Thank you very much. that allows us to sort of reposition our portfolio in a way that is incredibly accretive, we want to lean into that. And so you shouldn't just look at occupied sale as a way to reduce credit. That could certainly be, you know, a reason to do that. But it is not the only reason why we would be selling assets, occupied assets, into the markets.
Rocco
Operator
Thank you. That does conclude our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Sumit Roy for any closing remarks.
Sumit Roy
President and Chief Executive Officer
Thank you so much, everyone, for joining this call, and we look forward to seeing you in upcoming conferences. Rocco, thank you for hosting us.
Rocco
Operator
Yes, sir. Thank you very much, and we thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful evening.