SMC Summit Midstream Corporation
$34.96
Summit Midstream Corporation Q2 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
AI Conference Call Analysis
Sign in or subscribe to read.Operator
Good day and welcome to the second quarter 2026 Summit Midstream Corporation earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your touchtone telephone. Please note this call is being recorded. I would like to turn the call over to Randall Burton. Please go ahead.
Randall Burton
Head of Investor Relations
Thanks, operator, and good morning, everyone. If you don't already have a copy of our earnings release, please visit our website at summitmidstream.com, where you'll find it on the homepage, events and presentation section, or quarterly results section. With me today to discuss our second quarter of 2026 financial and operating results is Heath Deneke, our president, chief executive officer and chairman, and Bill Mault, our chief financial officer, along with other members of our senior management team. Before we start, I'd like to remind you that our discussion today may contain forward-looking statements. These statements may include but are not limited to our estimates of future volumes, operating expenses, and capital expenditures. They may also include statements concerning anticipated cash flow, liquidity, business strategy, and other plans and objectives for future operations. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can provide no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Please see SMC's annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31st, 2025, which the company filed with the SEC on March 16th, 2026, as well as our other SEC filings for a listing of factors that could cause actual results to defer materially from expected results. Please also note that on this call, we use the terms EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, distributable cash flow, and free cash flow. These are non-GAAP financial measures, and we have provided reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in our most recent earnings release. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Heath.
Heath Deneke
President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
All right, thanks, Randall, and good morning, everyone. Summit announced strong second quarter results today with adjusted EBITDA of $60.7 million, which is a 12% increase relative to the first quarter. The second quarter increase was driven by growth in both our Rockies and MidCon segments, and if we look ahead to the rest of the year, we are very encouraged with the level of activity we are experiencing across our systems, and we're seeing our customers accelerate plans to bring on new wells that are expected to be turned in line towards the end of 2026. Additionally, as we'll discuss further in the call, we have a lot of continued commercial momentum in the Rockies and the Permian segments as we keep securing new contracts to support very attractive, high-returning expansion projects. Touching on the second quarter a bit more, we turned in line 36 wells, 16 in the DJ and 20 in the mid-pron. Right after the quarter closed, we brought on another 17 wells in the Williston. And we now have roughly 75 drilled but uncompleted wells across the footprint. It's exciting to see our customers responding to the higher crude price environment as we speculated could occur back in our earnings call back in May. We now have a total of eight rigs running behind our rocky system, which by the way is up from five in the previous quarter. and six of those rigs are in the Williston. And I tell you, that's a level we're excited about. We haven't seen in several years in the basin. So part of that activity pick up in the Williston is existing customers accelerating their programs in a stronger crude environment. But part of it is also our commercial success. As we previously announced, we secured two new gathering agreements in Divide County during the first half of the year. Both of the new customers have a rig running behind the system today. and as a result, we now have visibility to approximately 30 new well connections in the Williston that were not contemplated when we set our guidance for the year. These are weighted towards the fourth quarter, so we do expect limited volume contribution in 2026, but they do position us for a very strong start as we look into 2027. In the DJ, we also see our customers ramping up plans that we expect will be a big catalyst for late 26, early 27 as well. We recently signed a new 20 year extension of a gathering and processing agreement with one of our existing anchor customers in the basin. And we're also working with other customers to potentially dedicate new acres to our growing DJ footprint. It's really an exciting time to see this level of activity ramping up in the rocky segments and what that means for the future. On EE, we executed additional firm transportation agreements during the quarter, which brought total contracted volume on the pipe to just over 1.9 BCI per day. We continue to see a tremendous amount of customer interest in the mainline compression expansion open season, and we have extended that open season now through the end of August as we work to finalize additional firm transportation agreements that will support the project. We expect to be in a position to make a final investment decision prior to the open season conclusion, and we will provide updates as they become available. And just to mention the mid-con segment, you know, one of the highlights there is that we're very encouraged with the performance of new wells that have recently been turned in line in an emerging dry gas region within our ARCOMA footprint. This, again, is a development that could be a major catalyst for the segment in 2027 and beyond. And finally, before handing the call over to Bill, I'd like to hit on guidance real quick. You know, as we said, we've had a solid first half in the books, and we now have a far better line of sight into second half volumes than we did back in March with the activity level now accelerating as well across the footprint. So as a result, we are tightening our full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $235 million to $255 million. We are also raising full year capital expenditure guidance to $100 to $120 million, which is inclusive of the contributions to the EEJV. The first driver of that capital increase is the approximate 30 new wells that we talked about earlier in the call, which were not part of our original plan. as well as the second, I guess, would be the incremental capital at EE, which is tied to the new firm transportation agreements that we executed this year. As a reminder, that EE capital will be funded through our new term loans that we executed earlier in the year. So look, you know, both of these, you know, increases expenditures are going to be really high returning dollars and tied to activity that is either contracted or committed. and in both cases, we see that the earnings benefits will start showing up in 2027. So with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Bill now to walk through the financials.
Bill Mault
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you and good morning, everyone. Summit reported 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $60.7 million, distributable cash flow of $36.8 million and free cash flow of $9.4 million. Total capital expenditures were $25 million for the quarter, inclusive of $4.1 million of maintenance capex, with the majority of capital directed toward PAC connections in the Rockies and Midtown segments. With respect to Summit's balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $21 million of unrestricted cash and $79 million drawn on our revolver, with approximately $418 million of available borrowing capacity after accounting for $2.7 million of undrawn letters of credit. Total leverage at the end of the quarter was approximately 4.1 times. And the Summit Permian Transmission Term Loan had a balance of $350 million at quarter end and remains non-recourse to Summit. With all the commercial progress and our expectation to FID compression in the near term, we are also working with our financial partner at Summit Permian Transmission to secure the $50 million uncommitted accordion to support the compression expansion project. During the quarter, we also began executing on the 35 million share repurchase program authorized by the board, repurchasing approximately 35,000 shares for $1 million. As of June 30, we had approximately 34 million of remaining capacity under the program. Now onto the segments. The Rocky segment generated adjusted EBITDA of 30.4 million, an increase of 4 million relative to the first quarter of 2026. driven by a 6.3% increase in liquids volume throughput and higher realized crude oil and NGL prices partially offset by a 3% decline in natural gas volume throughput. Liquids volumes averaged 68,000 barrels per day and natural gas volumes averaged 162 million cubic feet per day during the quarter. Realized crude oil prices and composite NGL prices were both up approximately 30% quarter over quarter both our customers and Summit's earnings associated with percentage of proceeds contracts in the DJ Basin. We connected 16 wells in the DJ Basin during the quarter, and subsequent to quarter end, we connected an additional 17 wells in the Williston Basin, including nine wells for which we provide both crude oil and produce water gathering services. And just as a reminder, the water to crude ratio in this area of the Williston is approximately three barrels to one. So these wells are extremely impactful to volume throughput. While those nine wells are still ramping, through August to date, they've averaged approximately 15,000 barrels per day of combined crude and produced water throughput. We are excited about the growth trajectory of this segment, not only from the acceleration of activity, but continued delineation and development of the significant remaining inventory in both Williams and DuBois counties. Additionally, and the DJ, Peoria Resources, who entered the basin acquiring Verdad earlier this year, announced the acquisition of Fundair Resources last week. As you know, Fundair is a key customer behind the Moonrise midstream asset that we acquired back in March of 2025. And this transaction offers Peoria additional contiguous acreage to drill longer laterals, drive down breakevens and fully develop the resource behind the Moonrise processing plant. There are eight rigs currently running behind the systems, six in the Williston and two in the DJ with approximately 75 dogs. The Permian segment reported adjusted EBITDA of 9.4 million, an increase of 0.6 million relative to the first quarter driven by a 6.7% increase in EE volume throughput with EE averaging 859 million cubic feet per day of throughput during the quarter. The peon segment reported adjusted EBITDA of 8.7 million, a decrease of 0.9 million relative to the first quarter, primarily due to a 5.7% decline in volume throughput driven by continued temporary shut-ins from low regional gas prices, natural production declines, and no new well connections during the quarter. However, as of the end of July, all of the previously shut-in production had begun flowing. Finally, the mid-count segment reported adjusted EBITDA of 21.4 million, an increase of 2 million relative to the first quarter, primarily due to a 9.9% increase in natural gas volume throughput to 523 million cubic feet per day. This was driven by 17 new Barnett wells and three new Arcoma well connections during the quarter. These wells are either performing inline or slightly above our expectations and we are encouraged with how long these wells are holding production before starting their initial decline. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to Heath for closing remarks.
Heath Deneke
President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
All right. Thanks, Bill. So to wrap up, we are very excited about the trajectory of the business through the remainder of 26 and into 27 as well. Volumes are growing and customer activity behind our systems is accelerating. As we've laid out in our recent investor presentation, the business is poised to deliver over 100 million of organic growth by 2030, which is driven by the Rockies and Permian segments primarily. Look, all of this you can see materializing real time when you look at the commercial success that we're having, along with the development activity levels that we're experiencing. Our current focus is completing a successful conclusion to the EE compression expansion open season in the coming weeks, as well as staying ahead of our customers in the rocky segment with our WellConnect programs that will enable our customers to even maybe further accelerate their development activity. On the corporate front, we continue to make progress towards achieving our three and a half times leverage target and making our goal of resuming a common dividend in the near future a reality. We think the combination of Summit's robust growth outlook, our current and projected high free cash flow yield, our improving balance sheet, and our current valuation all provide a very clear and compelling value proposition for new and existing investors in Summit. So with that, I would like to thank everyone for joining the call, and I look forward to answering questions. Operator, please open the call for questions.
Operator
Thank you. As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 11. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, press star 11 again. Our first question comes from Mark Reachman with Noble Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
Thank you. How much incremental adjusted EBITDA could the 30 new Williston Wealth Connections contribute in 2027, and how should we think about the broader growth opportunity in the basin beyond those wells?
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah, good morning, Mark. Thanks for joining. So the 30 incremental wells we're talking about, Mark, I would view that as somewhere around $10 million of kind of EBITDA contribution just from that development. Now, obviously, those 30 wells are coming online, call it late Q4, early Q1. We would expect additional activity to transpire for the remainder of 27 in the Williston. It's a little early relative to producer guidance, but if you just think about that 15,000 barrel a day increase from the nine crude and water wells, we're talking about sizable volumetric growth relative to the print this quarter on liquids volume. You know, we've talked about some of that volumetric sensitivity that we include in our investor deck. I think what we're seeing, we're trending towards that higher end of the call it 10-ish percent kind of volumetric growth under this type of cadence.
Unknown Senior Management
Mark, one other thought to add there as well. I mean, if you think about when these, you know, the producers behind these new, you know, we signed what, 240,000 acres worth of new dedications to the system. in the first half of the year. And a lot of their plans were developed off of a crude strip that was materially below where we are now. So I think if crude holds kind of in this current range that we're in now, I would actually expect to probably see some additional acceleration or maybe additional rigs being added on the acreage position. And we think we have a lot of upside. And also, just given our position in divide and and Northern Williams County. I think we, you know, we've got additional targets out there that we think we may be able to bolt on some additional customers as well. So pretty exciting growth up here in the Wilson. Good to see on our system.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
That's very helpful. Now, what remaining commercial commitments are necessary to reach FID on the double E compression expansion? And I'm just looking at that slide in your slide deck on page seven where You kind of step through the volumes and the financial contribution. So maybe you could talk a little bit about that and maybe the incremental EBITDA that you expect if the project proceeds.
Chris Tennant
Yeah, Mark, this is Chris Tennant. I appreciate the question. You know, we're putting the final touches on two PA agreements right now that'll push us over the FID hurdle here in the next couple of weeks. and the FID case will give us right at a sub six times build multiple. The asset is in a great position and we feel very confident about fully contracting it. And as we contract the remaining capacity, we'll see that build multiple go to a three X or lower build multiple. So we're really excited about that and feel very confident in our contracting and the position around EE.
Unknown Senior Management
And Mark, to bridge the gap on kind of the page you're looking at in the investor deck, you know, we're showing kind of 70 million of existing contracts and then with compression, 90 plus million of EBITDA. Think about that FID case being somewhere kind of in between those to get kind of baseline economics for us to make the decision to FID. And then the goal and our expectation would be to fully commercialize the remaining capacity by the end of the year.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
Okay, that's really helpful. And then, you know, with the peon's MBC shortfall payments expiring at the end of the third quarter, you know, how should we think about the segments normalized EBITDA beginning in the fourth quarter and into 2027? I was just kind of wondering if the return of the previously shut-in production and future drilling might offset the loss of the MBC-related earnings, or should we expect a step down in cash flow?
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah, Mark, you should expect to step down in cash flow starting the fourth quarter and just to provide some high level numbers. Think of that as like, you know, there's roughly $4 million of shortfall payments a quarter. So, you know, the business that's segmented around, you know, eight and a half, 8.6 million this quarter. So you're somewhere around four to four and a half million of kind of flowing EBITDA, which will give you a good run rate for 27. Longer term, Mark, so, you know, and we can get into this in more detail if you'd like, but longer term in our long-term outlook, the $100 million EBITDA growth through 2030, we're really not expecting any development in the peons under that forecast. I do think that's conservative. I think there are things like the data center build-out, you know, in that entire kind of Rockies area, as well as Canadian LNG, We really need some gas demand to kind of offset some of the Canadian associated gas that's flooding the market in which these producers sell into on the residue gas side. There's a lot of inventory, there's a lot of upside, but we're not banking on it in our long-term outlook, but I do think we're being a bit conservative long-term from that perspective.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
Okay, and then on the... So, Justin, EBITDA for the first half was $115 million and you narrowed your guidance. The midpoint remains kind of $245 million. So, what could drive results towards the upper end of the range or even the lower end of the range? I mean, it's a pretty tight range to begin with, I guess.
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah, Mark, this is Heath. Look, I think we kind of, we think we're kind of at the midpoint plus is how we describe the way things are set up right now. you know the low end I would say they'd have to be a pretty dramatic drop in commodity values you know most of the activity frankly even third quarter activity a lot of that's already been turned online or about to be turned in line and the fourth quarter wells are really slanted more towards you know December than they are early in the quarter so I think activity wise you know I think we're pretty pretty nailed down here so I guess If we had some significant underperformance of wells, that might kind of skew the numbers down a little bit. But I kind of think we've got upside beyond the midpoint, and that probably more than offsets any kind of risk to the downside, in my view. So lots of good momentum here to hold on to.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
Yeah, so I was glad to see the – I was encouraged to see the rebound in the mid-con compared to the first quarter this year, but – So the last question I have is... Those are the dry gas wells, by the way.
Unknown Senior Management
I said those were the dry gas wells, by the way. They came online. They really kind of pushed volumes up, just by the way. I'm really excited about those. They're big wells.
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah, and Mark, that's something like, as you think about the sensitivity for 2026, what is pretty compelling so far, and look, a handful of the wells have been on for call it two, three months now, but they're really hanging in. We haven't seen that kind of the initial kind of decline profile kickoff yet. So, you know, it's encouraging, they're big wells, and I do think it really illustrates the earnings potential of that segment with pretty modest amount of activity. Yes.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
Now, the last question I have is just, you know, how do you kind of rank debt reduction, organic growth investment, share repurchases, and then the potential reinstatement of the common dividend, you know, when you're thinking about allocating incremental free cash flow? And I know your longer-term leverage target is 3.5. I think you're at 4.1 at the quarter end. What might be your medium-term leverage target?
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah. Well, look, I think you actually got the order correct in terms of how we think about them, Mark. You know, I think definitely, you know, getting to our leverage target, which, look, we continue to feel really good about. I mean, if the momentum picks up or continues like what we're seeing right now and the activity levels behave as we do, I think in 28, you know, we could potentially get there. There are a few catalysts that could even accelerate that, but somewhere we think in the next 18 months is not an unreasonable assumption. in terms of getting to our target. But look, we do have a lot of growth opportunity, and I do think that that's something that we are focused on. I think fortunately with EE, ton of growth going on there, but we've got all of that capital already spoken for in a term loan that we put downstairs. So we don't expect to see a big ramp up in our base business or non-EE capital. It probably will hang in there in around the 50-ish mark or so. So I think, you know, we're going to see some continued, you know, free high free cash flow kind of coming out, you know, continue to pay down debt. And yeah, I think we're, you know, we're eager to to kind of get a return on capital program underway here. So, you know, we're definitely focused on it.
Unknown Senior Management
And Mark, if you think about so when we, you know, obviously we think the stock is undervalued, particularly when you take into context trading multiples relative to our peers and the balancing act here. We think that obviously scale, getting leverage to our target, turning on dividend policy are more meaningful ways to bridge that value gap versus just buying back stock out of the market. So think about it as what we think has the potential to drive kind of a more intrinsic value of the stock longer term. and that buyback program is truly just given some of the float and liquidity is really there to help support in downside days, right? So when the Iran conflict, when they got to resolution a month or so ago, there was a lot of volatility in the energy sector. That's when we put that buyback program to work. and kind of help support the stock and provide some liquidity to investors.
Unknown Senior Management
And Mark, sorry, just to make sure I was clear because I think I said 28, but what I meant to say and what I hoped I said was the next 12 to 18 months. So kind of think about towards the mid-half, second half of 27 to the first half of 28 is I think when we expect to get there.
Mark Reachman
Analyst, Noble Capital Markets
Okay, no, that's very helpful. Well, thank you very much. I really appreciate it.
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Jason Gableman with TD Calvin. Your line is open.
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Calvin
Yeah, hey, thanks for taking my questions. First, just on the full year EBITDA guide, I'm wondering if the second half guide contemplates any of the commodity strength we've seen the first half of the year.
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah, so good question, and thanks for joining, Jason. I'd tell you that, you know, think about it and call it the 70s on crude-ish and kind of a normalized NGL. We tend to update with strip, but, you know, if we're continuing to see kind of pressure on that crude price to the upside, that's another example, Jason, of what could push us kind of towards the higher end of the range on our tightened range.
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Calvin
Got it. And then going back to the Bakken and encouraging to see the additional rigs being added to your acreage. Do you have a sense of kind of your customers, your producer customer sensitivity to commodity prices? It's obviously been a really volatile tape, but if oil prices kind of trend back down to 70 to 75, would you expect to sustain the same amount of rig activity?
Unknown Senior Management
Yeah, I don't think 70 to 75, Jason, really moves the needle from a development perspective. We are putting capital work out here. I tell you, our team does a lot of work on half cycle returns and not at kind of the banker 10% type PVs. We're talking 20, 30% returns we think are doable in call it the mid to high call it 50s 55 to maybe low 60s for that acreage and you got to remember a lot of what they're doing up there are three mile laterals so they're getting improved efficiencies on their break-evens and their DNC costs which is really enabling this acreage and probably the lockstep change of what we've seen over out here over the past three four years.
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Calvin
And then maybe one follow-up on the M&A landscape. Just curious on your thoughts on what you're seeing on bolt-on opportunities, particularly in the Rockies region, both the DJ and the Bakken.
Unknown Senior Management
Look, a general comment I would tell you, you know, we're pretty disciplined on the M&A front. We've got a lot of organic growth ahead. You know, we're certainly mindful of achieving our leverage target. And we have seen some M&A get a little frothy, frankly. We participated in some processes that we stayed disciplined and let some assets go that we would have liked to have. But I definitely feel like it's opportunistically, I mean, just given our portfolio and how many adjacent systems that we touch that are owned by private sponsors that are going to be looking to get out, I think it's inevitable that we'll find a good deal out there, but Frankly, we're probably more excited about the organic growth profile and EE and potentially some additional organic opportunities that we're in the midst of developing that provide growth beyond what we're even forecasting in our longer-term outlook.
Jason Gableman
Analyst, TD Calvin
All right, great. Thanks for the answers, guys.
Bill Mault
Chief Financial Officer
You bet. Thank you. Thanks for picking us up, too.
Operator
Thank you for your participation. This does conclude the question and answer session, and you may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.