AMLX Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
$27.62
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
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Conference Operator
Good morning. My name is Raya, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Amelix Pharmaceuticals Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 again. Please be advised that this call is being recorded at the company's request. I would now like to turn the call over to Courtney O'Leary, Director of Investors Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Good morning, and thank you all for joining us today to discuss our third quarter of 2026 financial results and business updates. With me on the call today are Josh Cohen and Justin Klee, our co-CEOs, Dr. Camille Bedrosian, our Chief Medical Officer, Dan Monahan, our Chief Commercial Officer, and Jim Frates, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that any statements we make or information presented on this call that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements that are based on our current beliefs, plans, and expectations and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include, but are not limited to, our expectations with respect to Avexatide, AMX35, AMX114, and AMX318. Statements regarding regulatory and clinical development, the impact thereof, and the expected timing thereof, and statements regarding our cash runaway. Actual events and results could differ materially from those expected or implied by any forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, and Amelix disclaims any obligation to update such statements unless required by law. Now, I will turn the call over to Justin.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. It has been a momentous period for Amelix. In the third quarter, we reported positive top-line results from the Phase III lucidity trial of the Bexatide. and Investigational First-in-Class GLP-1 Receptor Antagonist in participants with post-bariatric hypoglycemia, or PVH, following Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery. Fueled by the strength of this data, we completed an equity offering to support our launch readiness efforts to potentially deliver the first-ever approved therapy for PVH in 2027. Our pipeline development efforts for the vexatide and our other programs remain strong as well. which Josh will talk about later in the call. As we reflect back on what has already been a milestone year for Amelix, we are proud of our team's strong execution across the three key objectives for Vexatide that we outlined in the first quarter. In the third quarter, we continued to make substantial progress toward achieving each of them, and we now look ahead to another potential milestone year in 2027. Our first objective for 2026 was to execute on the Phase III lucidity trial of Avexatide in people with PVH following Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery. In August, we reported positive topline results from the pivotal Phase III lucidity trial. Avexatide demonstrated consistent, highly statistically significant, clinically meaningful reductions in hypoglycemic events across all endpoints with a favorable safety profile. We were pleased to learn that these data were accepted as a late-breaking oral presentation at the upcoming Obesity Week 2026 Annual Meeting on November 15th. As we have spent more time engaging with the PBH community and sharing the top-line data, our conviction in the significant unmet need and market opportunity has grown, with many physicians reacting positively to the strength of the lucidity data. Our second objective was to execute on our NDA submission efforts. Our team has been actively preparing the submission, and we remain on track to submit our NDA to the FDA by the end of this year. Our third objective was to execute on our launch readiness efforts for vexatide, anticipating a potential 2027 approval and launch as the first ever approved treatment for PBH. We have an experienced commercial and medical affairs leadership team in place, and our efforts this year have given us a strong understanding of the patient journey for people with PBH and the healthcare professionals who care for them. Building on the momentum generated from the lucidity results and supported by the additional capital we recently raised, we're investing in the capabilities, infrastructure and team needed to support a successful launch. We believe we have the opportunity to potentially change practice in PBH, a debilitating disease which to date has had no approved therapies. It is this opportunity, informed by the stories of the many people with PBH we have heard from, that will continue to drive our team to execute on our objectives with precision and urgency. We look forward to an exciting year end and another potential transformational year in 2027. With that, I'll turn the call over to Camille to discuss the lucidity results in more detail, our NDA submission, and our field medical team efforts.
Dr. Camille Bedrosian
Chief Medical Officer
Thank you, Justin, and good morning all. TBH is a chronic metabolic condition characterized by recurrent and often debilitating hypoglycemia that can lead to cognitive impairment, confusion, and in some cases, seizures or loss of consciousness. The condition can have a profound impact on daily life, with patients often structuring their lives around the constant risk of a hypoglycemic event and facing challenges maintaining their independence, employment, and family responsibilities. In one study, more than 90% of individuals with PDH describe themselves as living with a disability, underscoring the profound impact the condition can have on quality of life. Endocrinologists consistently describe PDH as one of the most challenging conditions they manage. Despite this burden, there are currently no FDA-approved therapies. Lucidity met its pre-specified primary endpoint, demonstrating a 55% reduction in the composite rate of level 2 and level 3 hypoglycemic events compared to placebo, with a p-value of 0.00003. The study also met all secondary endpoints with consistent, highly statistically significant, and clinically meaningful reductions across Level 2 events measured by self-monitoring of blood glucose, Level 2 events measured by continuous glucose monitoring, and independently adjudicated Level 3 events. Importantly, for people living with PDH, preventing even one Level 2 or Level 3 hypoglycemic event can have a meaningful impact on daily life. Furthermore, the American Diabetes Association recognizes hypoglycemia as a potential medical emergency. Against this backdrop, we believe the consistency, statistical strength, and clinical meaningfulness of the lucidity results show its potential. Lucidity is the sixth clinical trial of Ovexatide in PBH, and all of those trials generated statistically significant results. In addition, lucidity is the largest and longest study of Ovexatide conducted to date. Alongside the efficacy results, Avexatide demonstrated a favorable safety profile consistent with that observed across the clinical development program to date. Avexatide was generally well tolerated. The majority of adverse events were mild to moderate, and there were no serious adverse events deemed related to Avexatide treatment. More than 90% of the participants completed the 16-week double-blind treatment period, and all eligible participants entered the ongoing open label extension portion of the trial. Additionally, our expanded access program is ongoing. Our field medical team has been focused on actively facilitating scientific exchange around the lucidity data. They have established a strong presence, engaging directly with a substantial number of healthcare professionals to answer questions about the data and gain insights regarding the unmet need and patient journey in PDH. Across these interactions, they continue to hear that awareness of PDH among specialists is high, recognition of the serious consequences in PDH is growing, and endocrinologists see a significant need for an FDA-approved treatment option given that there are currently no approved therapies. These discussions reinforce our belief that Avexatide has the potential to be the first FDA-approved treatment to address a significant unmet need in PBH. In addition, we are pleased that the lucidity results will be presented to the medical community on November 15th at Obesity Week, results that we believe will continue to demonstrate the consistency and strength of the dataset and the overall potential of Avexatide to change practice in PDH. Our team remains focused on executing our planned NDA submission by year end. And as a reminder, Avexatide has both breakthrough therapy and orphan drug designations from the FDA. With that, I'll now turn over the call to Dan.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Thank you, Camille, and good morning, everyone.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Bolstered by the strength of the Phase III lucidity data and with additional capital, We have transitioned from launch planning to executing on our launch readiness roadmap. Our continued engagement with the PBH community has reinforced our belief that this indication represents a significant market opportunity with a substantial unmet need. We are investing in the team and capabilities needed to realize the long-term potential of Avexotide, if approved. As we prepare for a potential launch in 2027, Our efforts are focused on three key areas. First, we are applying our growing understanding of the PBH market and the patient journey to inform our go-to-market plans. This includes our ongoing claims analysis work, additional market research, and direct engagement with healthcare professionals as well as patients. These efforts help validate the patient population size and provide valuable insights into where patients with PBH are being treated. Second, we are expanding our disease state education campaign, UncoverPBH.com, with the goal of increasing recognition and understanding of PBH across the broader clinical community. This campaign has been well received and reached a broad number of endocrinologists, bariatric surgeons and people living with PBH. Third, we are scaling our commercial organization and infrastructure. The full commercial leadership team is now in place, and we are making key hires across marketing, market access, patient services, and commercial operations. We are also investing in capabilities needed for a successful launch. More broadly, we continue to see increasing recognition of PBH across the medical community and healthcare system. Just last month, a PBH-specific ICD-10 code went into effect, which reflects the growing awareness of PBH within the medical community. We believe PBH represents a significant and underserved market opportunity. We estimate there are approximately 160,000 people living with PBH in the U.S. Of this population, approximately 118,000 people were estimated to have received rune Y gastric bypass surgery, and approximately 48,000 people are estimated to have received sleeve gastrectomy. Our independent claims analysis and ongoing field engagements to understand the market opportunity continue to support these estimates. In conclusion, with compelling lucidity results and key hires in place, the team is focused on executing launch preparations, to potentially commercialize the first approved therapy for PBH in 2027. And with that, I will now turn the call over to Jim to review our financials.
Jim Frates
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Dan. Good morning, everyone. We had an excellent quarter from a financial point of view. The success of the lucidity trial has allowed us to move to the next phase of growth, executing on our NDA preparation, scaling our commercial organization, and building long-term supply by investing in both our current and a new supplier. We're preparing for a large potential market and we're well on our way. Financially, our plans were enhanced by our recent oversubscribed equity offering that gave us net proceeds of $545 million. That left us with $768 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of September, compared to $251 million at the end of the second quarter. We were thrilled to bring in anchor orders from a number of leading, experienced investors in commercial biotech companies. As we've highlighted on this call, the more work we do in this area, the more excited we get. And we believe we're well-funded to deliver on our goals, and importantly, enter potential commercialization in 2027 from a position of financial strength, with the capital necessary to execute on our launch priorities. So turning now to our results for the quarter. Total operating expenses for the quarter were $49.7 million, up 38% from the same period in 2025. Research and development expenses for the quarter were $28.4 million, compared to $19.9 million in Q3 2025. The increase was primarily due to an increase in spending related to the pivotal Phase III lucidity clinical trial and other costs related to Avexatide and our other programs. The increase was partially offset by a decrease in spending related to AMX 35. Selling general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $21.3 million, compared to $16.2 million in Q3 2025. This increase was primarily due to an increase in personnel-related costs to support our pre-commercialization activities and the vesting of PSU awards during the quarter. We also recognized $10.4 million of non-cash stock-based compensation expense for the quarter compared to $7.1 million of non-cash stock-based compensation expense in Q3 2025. We're focused on a disciplined capital allocation, prioritizing investments that support the advancement of Avexitide in both the short and the long term, preparation for a potential commercial launch, and continued development of our pipeline. We believe we have the team, the data, and the capital in place to execute on our ambitious plans. With that, I'll turn the call over to Josh.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Jim. As you heard from our remarks today, with positive phase-through results in hand, Our first priority remains clear, to advance Avexitide towards potential approval and commercialization. For many people living with PBH, the condition has a debilitating impact on day-to-day life, underscoring the urgent need for an approved treatment option. Later this month, we are excited to share that we will be hosting an in-person and virtual investor event at Obesity Week, with experts who will discuss the current burden of PBH and the data on Avexitide generated to date. We look forward to seeing many of you there. Looking beyond our initial launch opportunity, we're also investing in a long-acting GLP-1 receptor antagonist, AMX318. In preclinical studies, 318 demonstrated strong in vitro potency, evidence of in vivo efficacy and tolerability, and a favorable pharmacokinetic profile consistent with a long-acting peptide. IND-enabling studies are underway and progressing well, and we are targeting a 2027 IND filing. We see opportunities to broaden Avexitide's reach into additional indications and to pursue geographic expansion in markets where there is a significant unmet need. Taken together, we believe these efforts position us not only to bring a potential first approved treatment to people living with PBH, but also to drive multiple long-term opportunities for future growth. We also continue to make progress across our broader pipeline. For AMEX 114 and ALS, we continue to advance the phase one Lumina multiple ascending dose clinical trial in people living with ALS. We are progressing through the dose cohorts and recently completed enrollment in cohort three and began enrolling participants in cohort four. Just last week, we presented data from the Lumina trial at the annual NEALS meeting from the initial two dose cohorts. These data are available on the Amilex Publications page. Additionally, over the summer, we entered into a second research collaboration with Gubra to screen and develop peptide candidates for another rare endocrine disease of high unmet need. We continue to make progress on this program and look forward to sharing updates as it advances. Reflecting on the year, the positive lucidity results were a defining milestone for Amilex, and now our focus shifts to commercial execution. an area that we have deep experience in as we prepare for a potential launch of Avexatide and pursue what we believe is a significant long-term opportunity ahead.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
With that operator, we are now ready to take questions.
Raya
Conference Operator
We will now begin the Q&A session. To ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 again. We request that you limit yourselves to one question and a follow-up. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Your first question comes from the line of Joseph Thorne of TD Cowen. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Jacob
Analyst, TD Cowen (for Joseph Thorne)
Hi, this is Jacob on the line for Joe. Thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to ask on the Salesforce strategy for Avexitide and sort of which kind of positions you'll be targeting. Thanks.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Sure. Thanks, Jacob. So from a Salesforce perspective, endocrinologists are gonna be the primary prescribers here. Just on a broader perspective, we have initiated our go-to-market efforts, so that project's well underway. But from an overall approach, you can envision this as a, it's certainly a rare endocrine launch, and I think there's a few that you can reference to look at from a sizing perspective. But endocrinologists will be the primary prescribers here. We are aware of some bariatric surgery centers that also maintain connectivity with these patients. So we're aware of those and we'll focus on some of them as well.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Thanks.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Simas Fernandez of Guggenheim. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Seamus Fernandez
Analyst, Guggenheim
Great. Thanks for the question. So a couple quick ones here. You know, in terms of lucidity and what we're going to see this weekend, can you just help us understand what it teaches about disease severity and the impact of Avexatide on patients with very severe disease? And I was just kind of hoping that you might be able to extend that into our learnings about, you know, potential low-hanging fruit and the patients that doctors are really going to be seeking to, you know, treat urgently or those patients that are going to be seeking to get into the endocrinologist's office, you know, relatively quickly. And the second question is on the EAP, you know, where do we stand just in terms of the, you know, kind of inclusion of OLE patients into the Early Access Program? How far along and how many patients have been recruited if you're willing to update that? Or if not, you know, what does it take to kind of activate those patients? And do you see an opportunity to further expand the EAP? Or are there, you know, potential limitations to that, whether it be supply, you know, the three lots that you have to kind of confirm with FDA, et cetera, et cetera. So those are the questions. Thanks.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Thanks. I think I cut all of them. And thanks, Seamus, as well. So maybe starting on lucidity and the disease severity. I mean, I think first it's important to note that even a single level 2 or level 3 hypoglycemic event can be a medical emergency. So people who are experiencing those, and we believe that's the 160,000 people living with PBH have a need for medical therapy in our view. When we've done ad boards, you know, Lucidity required people to be having at least one event of level two or level three severity per week during the run-in period. When we've done advisory boards with different physicians, they describe that as fairly typical of their PBH patients. Certainly some have it more frequently, some less, but it's not uncommon to see people having, you know, an event a week or more. In terms of, you know, I think you kind of mentioned, you know, low-hanging fruit from kind of a commercial, you know, perspective. I think it's a little early to say, but I will say as we've been to different conferences, you know, Endo and others, we do see a high degree of interest from physicians, you know, kind of proactively coming to our booth or otherwise asking for more information, you know, kind of noting that this is a really difficult condition for them to treat and that they're really looking for kind of new options and, you know, have excitement about Avexatide. And then I think in terms of the EAP, probably unsurprisingly, there's a lot of excitement and interest in the EAP. We probably won't give sort of interim numbers as it goes on, especially because the main point of the program is access. But it is a clinical trial, so you do have to activate sites. There is the similar kind of contracting and otherwise, as you might see in clinical trials. But we've had quite a lot of interest for that program.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Great. Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Jeff Meacham from Citibank. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Jeff Meacham
Analyst, Citigroup
Great. Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I just have a couple. The first is, when you think about the 160K US PBH patients, maybe just help us with the math that you've done that informs how many are officially diagnosed and in medical management that are the truly addressable populations in the call-up the first year or so. And the second question, just again on the EAP, you know, can you talk at least about, you know, what you can learn that would inform the patient identification, persistent rates, you know, just related to the launch execution? Thank you.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Sure. I'm happy to start, and then maybe I'll pass to Dan as well. So, you know, in terms of the math on diagnosis, I think we start from the claims data. And when we've done our claims-based analyses, you know, we've been able to identify approximately 160,000 people in claims, you know, who we believe have PBH. And, you know, PBH only recently got an ICD-10 code. So we did that work initially looking at those people who had hypoglycemic events following bariatric surgery that couldn't be explained by other means. But, you know, if they're having those codes, we sort of look at that population as certainly one that's being looked at by the medical profession, you know, possibly, you know, diagnosed as well. What I'd add to that sort of helped confirm this, we went out and did survey-based work where we, you know, kind of queried sites about how many patients are under their care. And what we found was that their responses were very concordant with our claims-based data, which again to us confirmed that our claims-based data is successfully identifying those patients that the physicians view as sort of diagnosed and under their care. And then I'd say, in terms of EMP, It's probably early to talk about persistency rates. I think we'll probably hold off on that until we're further along and probably until we're hopefully into commercialization as well. I don't know if you want to add anything, Dan, as well.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
I think you covered it really well. I would say from the claims analyses that we've done, and we've done it multiple times looking at several different databases, we continue to feel more and more confident in the size and the representation of the 160s. We start with the known patient who's had bariatric surgery, and then we apply the hypoglycemia diagnosis, non-diabetes hypoglycemia, and then we add in other factors, whether it was a trip to the emergency room, a visit to an endocrinologist, back to their bariatric surgeon. So that's how we're tracking. Every time we look at it, we feel more and more confident in the size and the representation of the 160. Thanks, guys.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Mark Goodman from Learing Partners. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Mark Goodman
Analyst, Leerink Partners
A different type of question. I was thinking about business development and just how much time you guys are spending on finding the next of exit side. And are we looking at CNS? Are we looking at endocrinology? Like what areas are you looking in and how likely is it that over the course of the next 12 months you might bring in another product like this one?
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, thanks, Mark. I appreciate the question. So I'd say, you know, first and foremost, we have a lot to do around here, which we're very excited about. Submitting the NDA by the end of this year and then preparing for launch in an unmet need with a rare but substantial population in the United States. I'd say even beyond that, there's a substantial unmet need of PBH internationally. There are other surgeries that lead to the same condition. And then, of course, we have our ongoing work with AMX 318 as well with the goal to submit the IND for that next year as well. And then, of course, we also have AMX 35 and Wolfram Syndrome and AMX 114 and ALS. So we have a lot going on here. You know, that being said, I think that we have a really excellent team here who's shown Great ability to work in areas of high unmet need, execute on clinical development, and we are now building our commercial capabilities as well. So we always sort of keep our eyes open for unmet need and opportunities for the company. But we have some very strong programs we're working on right now.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
So that's really our focus for the certainly for the next 12 months as you asked about.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Michael DeFury from Evercore ISI. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Michael DiFiore
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Hey, guys. Thanks so much for taking my question. Two quick ones from me. In terms of any payer discussions or feedback you may have gotten so far, any feedback have you received on various DUR requirements for therapy, whether it be documented low glucose, Nutritional Therapy Failure, off-label medications, stat medics, et cetera. And my second question is on pricing. I know it's early, but how are you balancing rare endocrine pricing with broad access? Thank you.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Sure. Thanks, Mike, for the question. The first one on the payer front. So we're in the process of building out our payer team right now. So we've hired our national account directors. They're currently on board, and they're getting ready to engage with the broader payer community. and those conversations will take place pretty soon. From a utilization management criteria, those are all the conversations that we'll begin to have with the payers as we start to have the payer information exchanges in the first quarter of the year. I think from a utilization management, again, I think the first thing I'd say, there are no approved medications for patients with post bariatric hypoglycemia. So I think it'd be hard for a payer to put a step or a criteria in place where a product is not approved. But that's all the education and the conversations that we'll have with the community in the coming months to learn more and educate the payers about post-bariatric hypoglycemia. From a pricing perspective, the second question, it's work again that we're going to start and kick off now that we have our lucidity results. First thing I'd say on the pricing from the commercial perspective, We're extremely excited about the lucidity results. I think the clinical impact and the opportunity to potentially become the first approved treatment for patients with PBH, that's quite significant and not something we will take lightly. A little bit early to discuss the specifics on pricing, I think there's certainly some rare products with similar sizing, similar prevalence populations, and even similar in the rare endocrinology space. So more to come as we get more and more specific within the pricing segment.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
I'll add just briefly on the payer point, too. So while we're doing that work now, as Dan indicated, I'll highlight that what I think is helpful here is that while PBH is new for payers, hypoglycemia is certainly not, given their coverage of insulin and other drugs that can cause severe hypoglycemia. And severe hypoglycemia has been known for a long, long time to be really a medical emergency. So I think we have a body of literature to draw on to help educate payers as to the severity of this condition when you have people who are having such frequent medical emergencies. So I think that's really the first objective for our team is to highlight just what a critical condition PBH is. And then, of course, we believe we have the opportunity to potentially change practice with the first treatment that can treat those hypoglycemic events.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Rami Katkouda from LifeSci Capital. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Good morning and thanks for taking my questions as well.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
I guess do you expect PBH patients to be concentrated at high volume bariatric surgery centers or key endocrinology practices and how does that influence your commercial launch strategy? I know it's early, but how should we think about the initial launch trajectory for vexatide? How large of a bolus of patients do you anticipate at launch, given the EAP and open-label extension?
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Excellent.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
I can start, yeah. So, on the concentration of the marketplace and the patients with post-bariatric hyperglycemia, again, that's work that we've been doing. We've mentioned the claims analysis to validate the 160. within those analyses we can also see where these patients are so we can see whether there's a setting of care or an endocrinologist that has 40 to 60 patients some have upwards of 70 and we've even spoken with endocrinologists that have greater than 100 patients or potential patients with post-bariatric hypoglycemia in their care so that's certainly where we'll focus we also know that there's a broader educational effort that's that's needed to raise awareness of, one, the severity of post-diuretic hypoglycemia, but also the signs and symptoms. So as our disease state education efforts take shape and as our field medical colleagues get out there and continue to educate the marketplace, I think you'll see the treatment expand beyond the top centers. And I wouldn't even say it's within the top centers. It's just we know that's where a lot of these patients are because these are extremely severe patients. and oftentimes they are then channeled towards a particular expert in the local marketplace. So from a launch perspective and the launch trajectory, again, the first thing I'd say is there's no approved therapies for post-bariatric hypoglycemia. It's certainly a sizable market. The 160,000 size, that's quite significant for a rare disease. But it's also a market that we continue to see and we believe that will build over time. With the endocrinologists that we've done research with, that we continue to engage with, There's a very high intent to treat these patients with post-bariatric hypoglycemia. So again, we know where a lot of these patients are. We certainly don't know where all of them are. So I think we'll see a good concentration up front. But then as our educational efforts take shape and more and more awareness of post-bariatric hypoglycemia occurs across the healthcare setting, we'll see that launch continue to build over time.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Awesome. Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of James Kondoulis from Spiegel. Thank you. Please go ahead.
James Kondoulis
Analyst, Spiegel
Hey, thanks for taking my question, and congrats on all the progress. You know, maybe we just won on sort of the current treatment landscape. I think, you know, one thing we've heard from subdocs is just anecdotally that, you know, GLP-1 agonists have been used in this space, and just, like, Kind of like curious your latest perspectives there and if that has sort of like any implications, if at all, on sort of like how the PBH treatment landscape will evolve over time. Thanks so much.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Sure. You know, I think as we've talked to physicians in the space, we've heard kind of two concepts there. One, you know, the concept of, you know, could a GLP-1 agonist be helpful for hypoglycemia? And then another one of, you know, just if people want to lose more weight. Talking on the hypoglycemia, there's actually been three randomized trials, all of which showed no benefit of GLP-1 agonists for hypoglycemia in PBH, which makes a lot of sense when you consider these drugs were originally approved for diabetes to lower your A1C, basically to lower your blood sugar. It would be quite surprising for them to raise your blood sugar. So we do not believe, based on the current evidence, that these are effective for hypoglycemia. In terms of weight loss, yes, you know, certainly they can be effective for weight loss. But most people who have PBH have already, you know, lost significant weight. They've had a bariatric surgery. So we don't anticipate that to be a particularly large pool of utilization either. So it's something we'll definitely watch. But I don't think, you know, I think what people are really looking for in this disease, given the severity, given the frequent medical emergencies that these patients are experiencing, is treatment of hypoglycemia. And I think that's what we
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
hope to offer with the Vexatide.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Thanks, Matt. Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Greg Silvanovich of Mizuho. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Sam
Analyst, Mizuho (for Gregory Sylvanovich)
Hi, this is Sam for Greg. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe two quick ones for me. First, in terms of the NDA for Vexatide, will that be only Roux-en-Y? So how are you guys thinking about gastric sleeve patients? And do you guys have a study plan there? And then maybe on the pipeline for Illumina study in cohort two, three, do you have any guidance on when we can expect data? And then in terms of expectations of what would be a good signal in terms of the biomarker responses given the cohort one kind of stay in your baseline?
Dr. Camille Bedrosian
Chief Medical Officer
Great, thank you very much. Good morning, Sam. With regard to the NDA, we'll be submitting the data from the overall Avexatide program, featuring prominently, of course, the lucidity trial, which was conducted in people with TBH following Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery. And most of the studies conducted weren't in people having had Roux-en-Y. Having said that, we also had a Phase IIb study in which individuals also received other upper GI surgeries and other upper bariatric surgeries as well. And those data were also, you know, those results were also positive. So we're submitting the data and we're very excited about the data as you've heard about the lucidity results, highly statistically significant, clinically meaningful. and beyond that, the data will speak for themselves, I would say. And then you had another question about the pipeline, Lumina, and what we might see there. So first, we're very excited about the progress of the Lumina study. As we noted, we've completed enrollment in cohort three, which is our third of four dose levels, 50 milligrams. and we're currently enrolling cohort four at 100 milligram dose level. We also recently presented results of cohorts one and two at the Niels Congress and we're very pleased that the data show a very well tolerated ASO in people with ALS. and those were the first lowest doses. Cohort one the lowest and then the next lowest dose. So early days yet to see biomarker results and therefore we're very excited to see how the data unfolds in cohorts three and four. Importantly, we're able to go to cohorts three and four because the drug is well tolerated. So we're very excited about the potential here.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
And Sam, just to the first question as well. So obviously, you know, we have yet to submit the NDA. And so we're a ways off from the label indication statement. We believe that PBH is PBH, the pathophysiology is the same. But as Camille indicated, the phase three trial was in PBH following Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery. So then as we look forward, first, I'd say, The current existing prevalent population in the United States, our estimates are that about 120,000 of the 160,000 currently had Roux-en-Y gastric bypass that have led to their PBH. And we'll be prepared for whatever scenario. Avexetide, you can see the effect of it in a single dose. And as Camille indicated, we have strong data from the Phase IIb of different surgeries leading to the same hypoglycemic condition and Avexatide appears to work regardless of the surgical intervention that led to the condition. So, you know, we'll be prepared for any scenario and both in terms of our launch preparations and our development preparations.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
That's very helpful. Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Jason Gerberry from Bank of America. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Dina
Analyst, Bank of America (for Jason Gerberry)
Good morning. This is Dina Honford, Jason. Thank you guys for taking our question. Two quick ones from us. Does the dedicated ICD-10 code provide any sort of a launch tailwind or change your ability to identify high-volume treaters heading into launch? and then at the lucidity top line, you said that the treatment and placebo distributions were essentially not overlapping once the patients were on drugs. When you present the full data set, should we expect that benefit to look relatively uniform across patients or is there a subset of super responders and specifically what proportion of patients became completely free of level 2, 3 events? Thank you.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Sure, I can start with the first question on the ICD-10 code. So yes, an ICD-10 code specifically for post-bariatric hypoglycemia did go into effect in the beginning of October. We definitely view the availability of a dedicated code as an important milestone for this community. It's also a reflection of the growing awareness of PBH. So that's something we are looking forward to. With the ICD-10 code, They're often used for diagnosis as well as tracking of patients within the healthcare system. The code itself, though, it's not needed for reimbursement, but it does represent an important step towards improving disease awareness as well as patient identification over the long term. What I would say on the code specifically, a new one, with the new diagnosis code, adoption as well as implementation of a specific code for PBH, it's going to take some time to be absorbed across the broader medical community.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, and then maybe the lucidity distribution of patients question. Maybe first I'd say, you know, just to remind, you know, we're incredibly excited about the lucidity results. I think the more we've dug into them, just the more excited we've continued to get. You know, we met our pre-specified primary outcome. We met every secondary outcome. We also had a favorable safety profile. So getting to the presentation, you know, I probably, you know, I'll probably let Marilyn Tan, you know, in her presentation give, you know, kind of all the details. But our hope there is certainly just to kind of give more detail across the secondaries, across the safety, et cetera, all of which has been quite favorable. And given the strength of the p-value, what that essentially means is the error bars are pretty small here. So the distributions are pretty tight in terms of how the active group looks and in terms of how the placebo group looks.
Raya
Conference Operator
Thank you. Appreciate it.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Ananda Ghosh from H.C. Wainwright. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Ananda Ghosh
Analyst, H.C. Wainwright
Hi, guys. Thank you. I have two questions from the commercial front. of the patients identified in your claims work, how many have been validated as actively managed, clinically confirmed PBH patients at your initial target centers? And now that the PBH code is effective, what will you measure to distinguish existing patients being recorded from newly diagnosed patients entering care? Thank you.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
So I can start with the first question just on the,
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
specifically on the patients. And of the patients that we've identified within the claims analyses, one, we've done it four times now, multiple times, and every time we look at it, so we continue to feel more and more comfortable in the sizing of the particular marketplace. But specifically, as Josh mentioned earlier in his comments, we've also referenced that with additional market research. So we've done additional market research on survey work, to validate the 160 specifically within very specific settings of care. But then we also have our field medical colleagues who are out there engaging and talking with key opinion leaders as well as large practices and some of the experts that continue to validate the size of the marketplace within the local geographies.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, and then maybe on your question around the code as well. Again, probably a little early as codes take a little bit of time to kind of get implemented into people's medical record systems and all those sorts of things. But yes, we'll certainly continue looking at that. But probably the most important thing is what it represents in terms of this disease growing in terms of awareness and kind of being a key disease that hopefully will be tracked and managed well by endocrinologists and otherwise.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Great. Thanks.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question comes from the line of Christopher Chen of Baird. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Thank you. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions, and congrats on a successful quarter. Just regarding patient eligibility and Avexitide's potential label, I believe patients in your trials needed to have been at least a year removed from bariatric surgery. Just curious as to why that criterion was in place, and is it possible that of Exotide's potential label could include patients less further removed from bariatric surgery. Thanks.
Dr. Camille Bedrosian
Chief Medical Officer
Yep. Thanks, Chris. Hi. So we did, that was the eligibility. Individuals had to be at least one year out. And it really is in part historical. We want to be as consistent as possible with how the prior trials were conducted. And why one year? Because that is generally the timeframe in which patients and many more. So that's the context there. With regard to the label, well, right now we're focusing on submitting our NDA. And it is, you know, too early yet to be contemplating what the label or the indication will be.
Josh Cohen
Co-Chief Executive Officer
And maybe only other comment. Thank you so much for joining us.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Once PBH occurs, it does not appear to go away. We very regularly work with people who've had PBH for 15, 20 years. So I'd say, you know, it's very unfortunate for people living with PBH. But again, we think it represents both the severity, the unmet need of the condition, but, you know, the opportunity in front of us as well.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Helpful context. Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
Next question, or last question, comes from the line of Rudy Lee of Wolf Research. Thank you. Please go ahead.
Rudy Liu
Analyst, Wolfe Research
Thanks for taking my question. Can you maybe provide more color on the Uncover the Mystery of PBH campaign? Were you able to locate more patients in your database, and how many healthcare professionals have signed up? Like, what's the specialty mix? Thanks.
Dan Monahan
Chief Commercial Officer
Sure. Thanks for the question on the Disease State Education Campaign. And it's a campaign that, again, we launched it in June, and the response has been quite significant. And the feedback we received from both bariatric surgeons, from endocrinologists, we're aware of primary care physicians who have engaged for education, so the response has been quite high. But we've also received specific feedback on the site, too, just that there's A recognition of the unmet need, the need for more education across the broader healthcare system. So we're excited about the results. Again, we've put it out there in many channels, but that's something as we continue to expand and prepare for a potential launch in 27, we are bringing that and bringing Uncovered PBH to a broader community within the healthcare ecosystem. from a specific metrics perspective, I don't think we're gonna get into which the numbers of endocrinologists or bariatric surgeons, just to say that we're excited about the results and we're very happy with the engagement from both patients as well as healthcare professionals.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
Thanks, they're helpful.
Raya
Conference Operator
Thank you.
Raya
Conference Operator
There are no further questions at this time. I will turn the call back to Mr. Klee.
Justin Klee
Co-Chief Executive Officer
Thank you operator and thank you all for your time. If you have any follow-up questions or want to connect, please reach out to our investor relations team.
Courtney O'Leary
Director of Investor Relations
We hope you have a great rest of your day.
Raya
Conference Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.